Giannis Kosti
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Giannis Kosti's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.40x the positional average in the league (1944 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 78
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 24.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €820k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1944 (83% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.23
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.31
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 24 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1260
- Opponent strength
- 1257
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €578k – €1.8M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 21 pts; team strength up (+133 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -43% to -8%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | CM | 23 | 1944 | 83% | 5 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 1257 | 1260 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | CM | 22 | 1450 | 62% | 2 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.32 | 1287 | 1128 | 0.35 |
| 2020/21 | Athlitiki Enosi Larisas | Super League 1 | CM | 3 | 66 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1293 | 1120 | 0.39 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | APO Levadiakos Football Club | 8 | 478 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | APO Levadiakos Football Club | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Barrett Laursen Superliga · 2019 | 25 | €700k | €700k | flat |
| Dimitrios Kourbelis Super League 1 · 2019 | 26 | €2.0M | €1.8M | flat |
| Seth De Witte Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Roland Alberg Eredivisie · 2015 | 25 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Danijel Milicevic Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 28 | €1.0M | €4.5M | rose |
| Franco Mazurek Super League 1 · 2019 | 26 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Ryan Laursen Superliga · 2019 | 27 | €700k | €400k | fell |
| Jakob Ankersen Superliga · 2019 | 29 | €700k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2024 | Olympiacos B | Levadiakos | Free / loan | €450k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Olympiacos | Olympiacos B | Unknown | €450k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Levadiakos | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €450k |
| 10 Feb 2021 | Olympiacos | Levadiakos | Free / loan | €600k |
| 31 Dec 2020 | AE Larisa | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €600k |
| 5 Oct 2020 | Olympiacos | AE Larisa | Free / loan | €625k |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Nea Salamis | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €625k |
| 2 Jan 2020 | Olympiacos | Nea Salamis | Free / loan | €700k |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Nea Salamis | Olympiacos | €500k | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Nea Salamis U19 | Nea Salamis | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | PO Ormidias | Nea Salamis U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.