Raul Florucz
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Raul Florucz's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-13.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.4M-6.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.1M-7.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.96x the positional average in the league (1105 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 46
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 58.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €4.2M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1105 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.81
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.49
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 59 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1570
- Opponent strength
- 1359
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.1M – €7.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -22% (IQR -35% to +4%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1105 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 78 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–126%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Union Saint-Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 19 | 1105 | 41% | 7 | 3 | 0.81 | 0.49 | 1359 | 1570 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Union Saint-Gilloise | 5 | 288 | 0 | 0 | 1680 |
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | Union Saint-Gilloise | 5 | 109 | 0 | 0 | 1397 |
| 2025/26 | Volkswagen Supercup | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1552 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Percy Tau Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 26 | €4.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Konstantinos Mitroglou Super League 1 · 2013 | 25 | €4.5M | €8.5M | rose |
| David Okereke Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 23 | €5.5M | €4.5M | flat |
| José Izquierdo Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 24 | €4.5M | €14.0M | rose |
| Massimo Bruno Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 24 | €2.0M | €1.7M | flat |
| Luiz Phellype Liga Portugal · 2019 | 26 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Alan Ruiz Liga Portugal · 2017 | 24 | €7.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Vladimir Weiss Super League 1 · 2014 | 25 | €4.2M | €2.8M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | NK Olimpija | Union SG | €5.0M | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | NK Lokomotiva | NK Olimpija | €100k | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | NK Jarun | NK Lokomotiva | Free / loan | €500k |
| 27 Jan 2022 | NK Lokomotiva | NK Jarun | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Hrv Dragovoljac | NK Lokomotiva | Free / loan | €200k |
| 11 Feb 2021 | NK Lokomotiva | Hrv Dragovoljac | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 18 Jan 2021 | NK Sesvete | NK Lokomotiva | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 7 Aug 2020 | NK Lokomotiva | NK Sesvete | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Lokomotiva U19 | NK Lokomotiva | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 4 Apr 2019 | FAL U18 | Lokomotiva U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | FAL U16 | FAL U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | FAL U15 | FAL U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | FC Pasching You | FAL U15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 12 Apr 2013 | Haid Yth. | FC Pasching You | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.