André Ayew

36 yrs · Striker (also AM, LW, RW) · Ghana
NAC Breda · Eredivisie · Foot: left · Height: 175 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€250k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€79k – €371k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€132k – €448k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€162k – €262k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€239k – €370k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€79k – €371k
Model value (performance-implied)€132k – €448k
Projected value (24 months)€162k – €262k
Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates André Ayew's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.74x the positional average in the league (881 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAverage37.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable36.5 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €159k vs market €250k
Expected appreciationNeutral+6% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €18.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
881 (29% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.38
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
38 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1118
Opponent strength
1281
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€162k – €262k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 19 pts; changed club; team strength down (-216 Elo); league level down (-182 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -34% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 881 league minutes last season.
  • ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (ATT)
Relative output kept
73%–122%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
61%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26NAC BredaEredivisieST1788129%100.100.38128111180.43
2024/25Le Havre ACLigue 1ST27145147%410.310.50145013330.88
2023/24Le Havre ACLigue 1ST19110536%500.410.56148613510.87
2022/23Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueLW133079%000.000.47159714331.23
2018/19FenerbahceSuper LigRW29205467%510.260.26137714380.58
2017/18Swansea CityPremier LeagueST1295128%030.280.49152714211.15
2017/18West Ham UnitedPremier LeagueAM1889226%310.400.46151114961.15
2016/17West Ham UnitedPremier LeagueAM25144242%630.560.47153514861.07
2015/16Swansea CityPremier LeagueRW34294086%1250.520.56154615081.08
2014/15Olympique MarseilleLigue 1LW28237269%1060.610.48142615270.80
2013/14Olympique MarseilleLigue 1LW25212262%630.380.44149014710.79
2012/13Olympique MarseilleLigue 1ST35311091%940.380.37145215320.88

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueFenerbahce5290011490
2018/19Uefa Champions League QualifyingFenerbahce190001616
2017/18Fa CupWest Ham United215900—
2013/14Uefa Champions LeagueOlympique Marseille4360211684
2012/13Uefa Europa LeagueOlympique Marseille4295111479
2012/13Uefa Europa League QualifyingOlympique Marseille3270201378

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Volodymyr Lysenko
Premier Liga · 2023
35€200k€200kflat
Oleg Yashchuk
Jupiler Pro League · 2013
36€200k€200kflat
Georgios Manousos
Super League 1 · 2023
36€150k€100kfell
Nathan Tyson
Scottish Premiership · 2017
35€250k€250kflat
Fotis Georgiou
Super League 1 · 2018
33€200k€200kflat
Steven MacLean
Scottish Premiership · 2020
38€200k€200kflat
Gary Teale
Scottish Premiership · 2014
36€400k€250kfell
Adis Jahovic
Super Lig · 2022
35€275k€25kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026NAC BredaWithout ClubUnknown€250k
1 Jan 2026Without ClubNAC BredaUnknown€400k
1 Jul 2025Le Havre ACWithout ClubUnknown€600k
4 Oct 2024Without ClubLe Havre ACUnknown€1.0M
1 Jul 2024Le Havre ACWithout ClubUnknown€1.0M
11 Nov 2023Without ClubLe Havre ACUnknown€1.2M
1 Jul 2023Nott'm ForestWithout ClubUnknown€1.8M
2 Feb 2023Al-SaddNott'm ForestFree / loan€2.2M
22 Jul 2021SwanseaAl-SaddFree / loan€3.5M
30 Jun 2019FenerbahçeSwanseaFree / loan€6.0M
27 Jul 2018SwanseaFenerbahçeFree / loan€15.0M
31 Jan 2018West HamSwansea€22.8M€18.0M
8 Aug 2016SwanseaWest Ham€24.1M€18.0M
1 Jul 2015MarseilleSwanseaFree / loan€13.0M
30 Jun 2010AC Arles-AvignonMarseilleFree / loan€1.0M
31 Aug 2009MarseilleAC Arles-AvignonFree / loan€1.2M
30 Jun 2009FC LorientMarseilleFree / loan€1.2M
11 Aug 2008MarseilleFC LorientFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jul 2007Marseille U19MarseilleUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2006Marseille U17Marseille U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2005Nania FC YouthMarseille U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.