Eder González
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Eder González's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.39x the positional average in the league (801 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 5.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €219k vs market €700k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 801 (34% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.17
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 6 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1138
- Opponent strength
- 1274
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €292k – €558k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+40 Elo); relative output up 76% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -52% to -7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 801 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | DM | 17 | 801 | 34% | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 1274 | 1138 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | DM | 14 | 713 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1304 | 1192 | 0.35 |
| 2024/25 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | DM | 5 | 263 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1235 | 1185 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | DM | 24 | 1848 | 79% | 2 | 4 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 1253 | 1205 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | DM | 25 | 2195 | 94% | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 1245 | 1179 | 0.37 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 153 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 2 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 4 | 289 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 2 | 135 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amr Warda Super League 1 · 2024 | 31 | €700k | €700k | flat |
| Dominik Furman Super Lig · 2021 | 29 | €700k | €450k | fell |
| Viera Ellong Super League 1 · 2017 | 30 | €450k | €250k | fell |
| Daniel Lukasik Super Lig · 2020 | 29 | €475k | €150k | fell |
| Bryan Dabo Super Lig · 2022 | 30 | €550k | €500k | flat |
| Lionel Ainsworth Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 30 | €450k | €350k | fell |
| Sammy Clingan Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 30 | €450k | €450k | flat |
| Lebogang Phiri Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €600k | €150k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2025 | Atromitos | Asteras Aktor | Free / loan | €800k |
| 19 Jul 2022 | Sepsi OSK | Atromitos | Free / loan | €650k |
| 5 Jan 2021 | FK Csikszereda | Sepsi OSK | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Terrassa FC | FK Csikszereda | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Feb 2017 | RCD Mallorca B | Terrassa FC | Free / loan | €100k |
| 18 Jan 2017 | UE Cornellà | RCD Mallorca B | Free / loan | €100k |
| 16 Aug 2016 | Mallorca U19 | UE Cornellà | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.