
Mohamed Konaté
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mohamed Konaté's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.04x the positional average in the league (652 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 10.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €615k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 652 (24% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.41
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.53
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 11 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1279
- Opponent strength
- 1303
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €405k – €979k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -50% to -3%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 652 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 50%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | Premier Liga | ST | 21 | 652 | 24% | 1 | 2 | 0.41 | 0.53 | 1303 | 1279 | 0.56 |
| 2023/24 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | Premier Liga | ST | 29 | 1872 | 69% | 11 | 1 | 0.58 | 0.57 | 1325 | 1273 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | Premier Liga | ST | 24 | 1361 | 50% | 11 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.61 | 1308 | 1364 | 0.53 |
| 2021/22 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | Premier Liga | ST | 27 | 1408 | 52% | 8 | 1 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 1341 | 1300 | 0.52 |
| 2020/21 | FC Khimki (-2025) | Premier Liga | ST | 26 | 1528 | 57% | 3 | 3 | 0.35 | 0.53 | 1363 | 1307 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | PFK Tambov (-2021) | Premier Liga | ST | 2 | 88 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.53 | 1350 | 1285 | 0.63 |
| 2016/17 | Ural Yekaterinburg | Premier Liga | ST | 4 | 58 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 1342 | 1286 | 0.70 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 5 | 265 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 342 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 4 | 253 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Russian Cup | FC Khimki (-2025) | 3 | 207 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Russian Cup | FC Khimki (-2025) | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Russian Cup | Ural Yekaterinburg | 1 | 90 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luiz Phellype Super League 1 · 2022 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Ali Alipour Liga Portugal · 2024 | 29 | €1.0M | €1.7M | rose |
| Oleksandr Yakovenko Eredivisie · 2015 | 28 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Ahmet Engin Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| Tomas Chory Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 26 | €850k | €2.0M | rose |
| Adrián Dalmau Eredivisie · 2022 | 28 | €700k | €350k | fell |
| Teddy Chevalier Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 30 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
| Kristian Opseth Super Lig · 2019 | 29 | €500k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2025 | Al-Riyadh | Akhmat Grozny | Free / loan | €2.3M |
| 21 Aug 2024 | Akhmat Grozny | Al-Riyadh | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Khimki | Akhmat Grozny | Free / loan | €600k |
| 2 Sept 2019 | Tambov | Khimki | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Pyunik Yerevan | Tambov | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Gomel | Pyunik Yerevan | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Kairat Almaty | Gomel | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Babite | Kairat Almaty | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Ural | Babite | Free / loan | €100k |
| 31 Aug 2016 | FC Saxan | Ural | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jan 2016 | AS Denguélé | FC Saxan | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.