Mohamed Konaté

28 yrs · Striker · Burkina Faso
RFK Akhmat Grozny · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 191 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€1.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€371k – €1.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€398k – €967k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€405k – €979k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€679k – €595k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€371k – €1.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€398k – €967k
Projected value (24 months)€405k – €979k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Mohamed Konaté's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.04x the positional average in the league (652 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average10.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.6 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €615k vs market €1.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-29% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.56
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €3.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
652 (24% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.41
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.53
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
11 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.56 (rank 10)
Team strength (Elo)
1279
Opponent strength
1303
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€405k – €979k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -50% to -3%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 652 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
20 (ATT)
Relative output kept
76%–104%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
50%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26RFK Akhmat GroznyPremier LigaST2165224%120.410.53130312790.56
2023/24RFK Akhmat GroznyPremier LigaST29187269%1110.580.57132512730.49
2022/23RFK Akhmat GroznyPremier LigaST24136150%1110.790.61130813640.53
2021/22RFK Akhmat GroznyPremier LigaST27140852%810.580.59134113000.52
2020/21FC Khimki (-2025)Premier LigaST26152857%330.350.53136313070.55
2019/20PFK Tambov (-2021)Premier LigaST2883%000.000.53135012850.63
2016/17Ural YekaterinburgPremier LigaST4582%000.000.55134212860.70

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Russian CupRFK Akhmat Grozny526510—
2023/24Russian CupRFK Akhmat Grozny634220—
2022/23Russian CupRFK Akhmat Grozny425320—
2020/21Russian CupFC Khimki (-2025)320720—
2019/20Russian CupFC Khimki (-2025)31600—
2016/17Russian CupUral Yekaterinburg19011—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Luiz Phellype
Super League 1 · 2022
29€1.5M€1.0Mfell
Ali Alipour
Liga Portugal · 2024
29€1.0M€1.7Mrose
Oleksandr Yakovenko
Eredivisie · 2015
28€1.0M€400kfell
Ahmet Engin
Super Lig · 2023
27€800k€400kfell
Tomas Chory
Jupiler Pro League · 2021
26€850k€2.0Mrose
Adrián Dalmau
Eredivisie · 2022
28€700k€350kfell
Teddy Chevalier
Jupiler Pro League · 2017
30€1.5M€900kfell
Kristian Opseth
Super Lig · 2019
29€500k€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
8 Jul 2025Al-RiyadhAkhmat GroznyFree / loan€2.3M
21 Aug 2024Akhmat GroznyAl-RiyadhFree / loan€3.0M
1 Jul 2021KhimkiAkhmat GroznyFree / loan€600k
2 Sept 2019TambovKhimkiFree / loan€200k
1 Jul 2019Pyunik YerevanTambovFree / loan€200k
1 Jul 2018GomelPyunik YerevanUnknown€150k
1 Jan 2018Kairat AlmatyGomelFree / loan€100k
1 Jul 2017BabiteKairat AlmatyFree / loan€100k
1 Jan 2017UralBabiteFree / loan€100k
31 Aug 2016FC SaxanUralUnknown€50k
1 Jan 2016AS DenguéléFC SaxanUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.