
Domagoj Vida
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Domagoj Vida's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 67.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 37.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €183k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -43% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1016 (43% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 68 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1512
- Opponent strength
- 1196
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €128k – €481k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 35 pts; team strength up (+61 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 46% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -49% (IQR -71% to -34%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1016 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | CB | 12 | 1016 | 43% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1196 | 1512 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | CB | 21 | 1839 | 79% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1290 | 1450 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | CB | 19 | 1665 | 71% | 4 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.10 | 1257 | 1472 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | CB | 22 | 1972 | 84% | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 1244 | 1424 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CB | 28 | 2395 | 70% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1256 | 1342 | 0.42 |
| 2020/21 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CB | 34 | 3021 | 84% | 5 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 1269 | 1408 | 0.37 |
| 2019/20 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CB | 31 | 2683 | 88% | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 1333 | 1401 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CB | 31 | 2694 | 88% | 3 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 1384 | 1521 | 0.58 |
| 2017/18 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CB | 9 | 810 | 41% | 2 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.10 | 1343 | 1547 | 0.62 |
| 2017/18 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CB | 13 | 751 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 1352 | 1634 | 0.68 |
| 2016/17 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CB | 28 | 2448 | 85% | 3 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.09 | 1366 | 1566 | 0.56 |
| 2015/16 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CB | 18 | 1598 | 68% | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 1337 | 1621 | 0.54 |
| 2014/15 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | RB | 19 | 1710 | 73% | 2 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.13 | 1393 | 1573 | 0.54 |
| 2013/14 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CB | 17 | 1368 | 52% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 1381 | 1509 | 0.63 |
| 2012/13 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | CB | 12 | 1080 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 1395 | 1565 | 0.70 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1465 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1332 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 5 | 450 | 1 | 0 | 1542 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 4 | 360 | 1 | 0 | 1558 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 107 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1676 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1512 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1484 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1549 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1491 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 350 | 0 | 0 | 1438 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1466 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1370 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1895 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1670 |
| 2016/17 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 320 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | Dynamo Kyiv | 5 | 372 | 0 | 0 | 1659 |
| 2015/16 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 10 | 876 | 1 | 0 | 1473 |
| 2014/15 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 570 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2013/14 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 306 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 210 | 0 | 0 | 1498 |
| 2013/14 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 103 | 0 | 0 | 1388 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1628 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 6 | 540 | 2 | 1 | 1432 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1586 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vyacheslav Checher Premier Liga · 2016 | 36 | €400k | €100k | fell |
| Éric Abidal Super League 1 · 2015 | 36 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Damien Marcq Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 34 | €350k | €200k | fell |
| Mikael Antonsson Superliga · 2016 | 35 | €500k | €150k | fell |
| Vangelis Nastos Super League 1 · 2015 | 35 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Fernando Varela Super League 1 · 2022 | 35 | €500k | €100k | fell |
| Georgios Tzavellas Super League 1 · 2023 | 36 | €400k | €250k | fell |
| Ehsan Hajsafi Super League 1 · 2024 | 34 | €600k | €275k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2022 | Besiktas | AEK Athens | Free / loan | €1.9M |
| 4 Jan 2018 | Dynamo Kyiv | Besiktas | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 2 Jan 2013 | Dinamo Zagreb | Dynamo Kyiv | €5.0M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Leverkusen | Dinamo Zagreb | €1.3M | €1.8M |
| 1 Jul 2010 | NK Osijek | Leverkusen | €2.4M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2006 | NK Osijek U19 | NK Osijek | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.