Theocharis Tsingaras

26 yrs · Central midfielder (also DM) · Greece
APS Atromitos Athinon · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€900k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€249k – €807k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€534k – €1.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€426k – €1.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€273k – €927k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€249k – €807k
Model value (performance-implied)€534k – €1.2M
Projected value (24 months)€426k – €1.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Theocharis Tsingaras's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (1574 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 94

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average29.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €332k vs market €900k
Expected appreciationLow-12% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.8M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1574 (67% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.11
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.20
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
30 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1237
Opponent strength
1235
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€426k – €1.3M

Trajectory drivers: league level up (+40 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +6% (IQR -29% to +121%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1574 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
14 (MID)
Relative output kept
67%–189%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
64%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26APS Atromitos AthinonSuper League 1CM24157467%110.110.20123512370.43
2024/25APS Atromitos AthinonSuper League 1CM22153265%110.120.19125911920.35
2023/24Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1CM1037616%100.240.15121015350.42
2022/23FC ToulouseLigue 1CM160%000.000.26133813470.82
2021/22Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1DM1391239%000.000.06122514530.39
2020/21Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1CM958325%000.000.10125414280.39

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasAPS Atromitos Athinon541600—
2024/25Kypello ElladasAPS Atromitos Athinon213500—
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton15001254
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton6412011342
2023/24Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton429400—
2021/22Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton214100—
2020/21Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton521510—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton4202001502

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Halil Akbunar
Super Lig · 2020
27€1.1M€3.5Mrose
Mikkel Qvist
Superliga · 2018
25€500k€300kfell
Kévin Soni
Super League 1 · 2022
24€800k€600kfell
Camilo
Premier Liga · 2024
25€1.0M€2.0Mrose
Franco Mazurek
Super League 1 · 2018
25€600k€600kflat
Jorman Campuzano
Super Lig · 2023
27€1.5M€1.7Mflat
Frederik Lauenborg
Superliga · 2023
26€600k€250kfell
Stefán Teitur Thórdarson
Superliga · 2023
25€600k€1.8Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
26 Aug 2024PAOKAtromitos€1.0M€1.2M
30 Jun 2023ToulousePAOKFree / loan€1.2M
1 Sept 2022PAOKToulouseFree / loan€1.8M
1 Jul 2019PAOK U19PAOKUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017PAOK U17PAOK U20UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Bebides 2000PAOK U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.