
Theocharis Tsingaras
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Theocharis Tsingaras's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.93x the positional average in the league (1574 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 94
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 29.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €332k vs market €900k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1574 (67% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.20
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 30 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1237
- Opponent strength
- 1235
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €426k – €1.3M
Trajectory drivers: league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +6% (IQR -29% to +121%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1574 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | CM | 24 | 1574 | 67% | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 1235 | 1237 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | APS Atromitos Athinon | Super League 1 | CM | 22 | 1532 | 65% | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 1259 | 1192 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CM | 10 | 376 | 16% | 1 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 1210 | 1535 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | CM | 1 | 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1338 | 1347 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | DM | 13 | 912 | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1225 | 1453 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CM | 9 | 583 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1254 | 1428 | 0.39 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 5 | 416 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | APS Atromitos Athinon | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1254 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 6 | 412 | 0 | 1 | 1342 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 294 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 141 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 215 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 202 | 0 | 0 | 1502 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halil Akbunar Super Lig · 2020 | 27 | €1.1M | €3.5M | rose |
| Mikkel Qvist Superliga · 2018 | 25 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Kévin Soni Super League 1 · 2022 | 24 | €800k | €600k | fell |
| Camilo Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €1.0M | €2.0M | rose |
| Franco Mazurek Super League 1 · 2018 | 25 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Jorman Campuzano Super Lig · 2023 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.7M | flat |
| Frederik Lauenborg Superliga · 2023 | 26 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Stefán Teitur Thórdarson Superliga · 2023 | 25 | €600k | €1.8M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2024 | PAOK | Atromitos | €1.0M | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Toulouse | PAOK | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Sept 2022 | PAOK | Toulouse | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | PAOK U19 | PAOK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | PAOK U17 | PAOK U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Bebides 2000 | PAOK U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.