Richonell Margaret
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Richonell Margaret's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (1032 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 88
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 17th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €379k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1032 (34% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.35
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.39
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1245
- Opponent strength
- 1331
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €349k – €816k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 49 pts; changed club; team strength up (+75 Elo); role change ST -> RW.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -16% to +27%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1032 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | RW | 22 | 1032 | 34% | 1 | 3 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 1331 | 1245 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | ST | 34 | 2525 | 83% | 5 | 7 | 0.43 | 0.66 | 1305 | 1171 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | RW | 24 | 822 | 27% | 4 | 1 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 1311 | 1193 | 0.48 |
| 2018/19 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | ST | 3 | 53 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 1280 | 1413 | 0.61 |
| 2018/19 | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie | Eredivisie | ST | 1 | 14 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.53 | 1375 | 1239 | 0.61 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 296 | 0 | 0 | 1488 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 61 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1632 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | RKC Waalwijk | 3 | 162 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artur Avagimyan Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Eamonn Brophy Scottish Premiership · 2021 | 25 | €550k | €500k | flat |
| Mikhail Rosheuvel Eredivisie · 2015 | 25 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Teddy Chevalier Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 27 | €800k | €1.8M | rose |
| Milos Deletic Super League 1 · 2020 | 27 | €475k | €500k | flat |
| Isac Lidberg Eredivisie · 2024 | 26 | €700k | €5.0M | rose |
| Maryan Mysyk Premier Liga · 2023 | 27 | €300k | €200k | fell |
| Ibou Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 28 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2025 | RKC Waalwijk | Go Ahead Eagles | €1.0M | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | TOP Oss | RKC Waalwijk | Free / loan | €250k |
| 4 Sept 2022 | Without Club | TOP Oss | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | AZ Alkmaar U21 | Without Club | Unknown | €250k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | TOP Oss | AZ Alkmaar U21 | Free / loan | €250k |
| 12 Aug 2021 | AZ Alkmaar U21 | TOP Oss | Free / loan | €300k |
| 13 Jul 2019 | Vitesse U21 | AZ Alkmaar U21 | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Vitesse U19 | Vitesse U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Ajax U19 | Vitesse U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Ajax U17 | Ajax U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Ajax Youth | Ajax U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Foresters Yth. | Ajax Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.