Matteo Tramoni
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Matteo Tramoni's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-2.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.0M-4.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.8M-4.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.07x the positional average in the league (1610 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 37
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 42.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.1M vs market €4.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -38% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1610 (47% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.22
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.43
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1260
- Opponent strength
- 1528
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.8M – €4.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -29% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1610 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Pisa Sporting Club | Serie A | AM | 27 | 1610 | 47% | 2 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.43 | 1528 | 1260 | 0.93 |
| 2020/21 | Cagliari Calcio | Serie A | LW | 6 | 71 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.54 | 1593 | 1373 | 0.90 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Pisa Sporting Club | 2 | 94 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Cagliari Calcio | 3 | 199 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Pedro Serie A · 2018 | 26 | €5.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Marvin Mehlem Bundesliga · 2024 | 27 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Carlos Carbonero Serie A · 2015 | 25 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Fabian Nürnberger Bundesliga · 2024 | 25 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Nedim Bajrami Serie A · 2024 | 25 | €4.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Valerio Verre Serie A · 2020 | 26 | €3.2M | €2.5M | fell |
| Filip Bradaric Serie A · 2019 | 27 | €4.5M | €2.7M | fell |
| Pasquale Schiattarella Serie A · 2014 | 27 | €1.6M | €1.2M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2022 | Cagliari | Pisa | €3.0M | €2.2M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Brescia | Cagliari | Free / loan | €2.2M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Cagliari | Brescia | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 23 Sept 2020 | AC Ajaccio | Cagliari | €1.4M | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Ajaccio U17 | AC Ajaccio | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Ajaccio Yth. | Ajaccio U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.