Artem Dzyuba

38 yrs · Striker · Russia
Akron Togliatti · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 197 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€1.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€295k – €1.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€234k – €513k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€373k – €975k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€936k – €218k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€295k – €1.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€234k – €513k
Projected value (24 months)€373k – €975k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Artem Dzyuba's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.26x the positional average in the league (2222 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAverage46.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable37.9 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €581k vs market €1.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-33% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.56
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €16.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2222 (82% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.53
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.64
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
47 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.56 (rank 10)
Team strength (Elo)
1212
Opponent strength
1349
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€373k – €975k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 18 pts.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -61% to -21%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
20 (ATT)
Relative output kept
76%–104%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
50%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Akron TogliattiPremier LigaST26222282%850.530.64134912120.56
2024/25Akron TogliattiPremier LigaST22172364%970.840.83130512600.55
2023/24Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" МоскваPremier LigaST21141752%430.440.43132814160.49
2022/23Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" МоскваPremier LigaST1190033%851.300.82132613990.53
2022/23Adana DemirsporSuper LigST41655%100.550.52131614100.50
2021/22AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaST28160659%1171.010.50131315300.52
2020/21AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaST27225483%2081.120.62133815440.55
2019/20AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaST28231686%17141.200.71138415940.63
2018/19AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaST27235987%8110.720.53140215330.69
2017/18Arsenal TulaPremier LigaST1090033%630.900.97144113640.75
2017/18AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaST1579229%100.110.23137515810.75
2016/17AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaST26219481%1340.700.44139916160.70
2015/16AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaST30257795%1590.840.48144516290.79
2014/15FK Spartak MoskvaPremier LigaST1385732%710.840.63145514500.88
2014/15FK RostovPremier LigaST1146217%100.190.47142213810.88
2013/14FK RostovPremier LigaST28248692%1740.760.78147614370.92
2012/13FK Spartak MoskvaPremier LigaST25152556%470.650.58141415010.88

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2024/25Russian CupAkron Togliatti29110—
2023/24Russian CupФутбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва521001—
2022/23Russian CupФутбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва218000—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg6276021604
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg2137101595
2021/22Russian CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg29610—
2021/22Russian Super CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg130011457
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg5345111604
2020/21Russian CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg19000—
2020/21Russian Super CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg181101462
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg6540211638
2019/20Russian CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg218020—
2019/20Russian Super CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg190001499
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg7624121481
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg2210431473
2018/19Russian CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg1400—
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg4168111388
2017/18Uefa Europa League QualifyingAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg4119001371
2017/18Russian CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg1700—
2016/17Uefa Europa LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg6468121492
2016/17Russian CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg19000—
2016/17Russian Super CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg167001594
2015/16Uefa Champions LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg8633621605
2015/16Russian CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg530821—
2015/16Russian Super CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg164001513
2014/15Russian CupFK Spartak Moskva112000—
2013/14Russian CupFK Rostov328820—
2012/13Uefa Champions LeagueFK Spartak Moskva4130001543
2012/13Russian CupFK Spartak Moskva19000—
2012/13Uefa Champions League QualifyingFK Spartak Moskva229001503

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Burak Yilmaz
Eredivisie · 2023
38€800k€800kflat
Steven Thompson
Scottish Premiership · 2013
35€700k€400kfell
Esteban Solari
Super League 1 · 2014
34€750k€800kflat
Eric Bicfalvi
Premier Liga · 2022
34€1.0M€400kfell
Max Gradel
Super Lig · 2023
36€1.6M€750kfell
Jelle Vossen
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
33€800k€300kfell
Papiss Cissé
Super Lig · 2019
34€1.8M€450kfell
Michiel Kramer
Eredivisie · 2022
34€375k€275kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026Akron TolyattiWithout ClubUnknown€1.0M
12 Sept 2024Loko MoscowAkron TolyattiFree / loan€2.0M
8 Feb 2023Without ClubLoko MoscowUnknown€4.0M
3 Nov 2022Adana DemirsporWithout ClubUnknown€4.0M
18 Aug 2022Zenit S-PbAdana DemirsporFree / loan€6.0M
30 Jun 2018Arsenal TulaZenit S-PbFree / loan€7.0M
31 Jan 2018Zenit S-PbArsenal TulaFree / loan€6.0M
1 Jul 2015Spartak MoscowZenit S-PbFree / loan€6.0M
30 Jun 2015RostovSpartak MoscowFree / loan€6.0M
27 Feb 2015Spartak MoscowRostovFree / loan€7.5M
30 Jun 2014RostovSpartak MoscowFree / loan€5.0M
1 Jul 2013Spartak MoscowRostovFree / loan€4.5M
31 Dec 2010Tom TomskSpartak MoscowFree / loan€700k
8 Apr 2010Spartak MoscowTom TomskFree / loan€700k
31 Dec 2009Tom TomskSpartak MoscowFree / loan€750k
1 Aug 2009Spartak MoscowTom TomskFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jan 2007Spartak IISpartak MoscowUnknownData unavailable
4 Nov 2004Akademia FCSMSpartak IIUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Artem Dzyuba · MoneyballAI