
Artem Dzyuba
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Artem Dzyuba's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.26x the positional average in the league (2222 minutes, league coefficient 0.56). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Average | 46.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 37.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €581k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2222 (82% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.53
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.64
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 47 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1212
- Opponent strength
- 1349
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €373k – €975k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 18 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -48% (IQR -61% to -21%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 50%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Akron Togliatti | Premier Liga | ST | 26 | 2222 | 82% | 8 | 5 | 0.53 | 0.64 | 1349 | 1212 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | Akron Togliatti | Premier Liga | ST | 22 | 1723 | 64% | 9 | 7 | 0.84 | 0.83 | 1305 | 1260 | 0.55 |
| 2023/24 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | ST | 21 | 1417 | 52% | 4 | 3 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 1328 | 1416 | 0.49 |
| 2022/23 | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | Premier Liga | ST | 11 | 900 | 33% | 8 | 5 | 1.30 | 0.82 | 1326 | 1399 | 0.53 |
| 2022/23 | Adana Demirspor | Super Lig | ST | 4 | 165 | 5% | 1 | 0 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 1316 | 1410 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | Premier Liga | ST | 28 | 1606 | 59% | 11 | 7 | 1.01 | 0.50 | 1313 | 1530 | 0.52 |
| 2020/21 | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | Premier Liga | ST | 27 | 2254 | 83% | 20 | 8 | 1.12 | 0.62 | 1338 | 1544 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | Premier Liga | ST | 28 | 2316 | 86% | 17 | 14 | 1.20 | 0.71 | 1384 | 1594 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | Premier Liga | ST | 27 | 2359 | 87% | 8 | 11 | 0.72 | 0.53 | 1402 | 1533 | 0.69 |
| 2017/18 | Arsenal Tula | Premier Liga | ST | 10 | 900 | 33% | 6 | 3 | 0.90 | 0.97 | 1441 | 1364 | 0.75 |
| 2017/18 | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | Premier Liga | ST | 15 | 792 | 29% | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.23 | 1375 | 1581 | 0.75 |
| 2016/17 | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | Premier Liga | ST | 26 | 2194 | 81% | 13 | 4 | 0.70 | 0.44 | 1399 | 1616 | 0.70 |
| 2015/16 | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | Premier Liga | ST | 30 | 2577 | 95% | 15 | 9 | 0.84 | 0.48 | 1445 | 1629 | 0.79 |
| 2014/15 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | ST | 13 | 857 | 32% | 7 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.63 | 1455 | 1450 | 0.88 |
| 2014/15 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | ST | 11 | 462 | 17% | 1 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.47 | 1422 | 1381 | 0.88 |
| 2013/14 | FK Rostov | Premier Liga | ST | 28 | 2486 | 92% | 17 | 4 | 0.76 | 0.78 | 1476 | 1437 | 0.92 |
| 2012/13 | FK Spartak Moskva | Premier Liga | ST | 25 | 1525 | 56% | 4 | 7 | 0.65 | 0.58 | 1414 | 1501 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | Akron Togliatti | 2 | 91 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Russian Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 5 | 210 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Russian Cup | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 6 | 276 | 0 | 2 | 1604 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 2 | 137 | 1 | 0 | 1595 |
| 2021/22 | Russian Cup | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 2 | 96 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Russian Super Cup | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 1 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1457 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 5 | 345 | 1 | 1 | 1604 |
| 2020/21 | Russian Cup | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Russian Super Cup | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 1 | 81 | 1 | 0 | 1462 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 6 | 540 | 2 | 1 | 1638 |
| 2019/20 | Russian Cup | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 2 | 180 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Russian Super Cup | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1499 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 7 | 624 | 1 | 2 | 1481 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 2 | 210 | 4 | 3 | 1473 |
| 2018/19 | Russian Cup | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 4 | 168 | 1 | 1 | 1388 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 4 | 119 | 0 | 0 | 1371 |
| 2017/18 | Russian Cup | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 6 | 468 | 1 | 2 | 1492 |
| 2016/17 | Russian Cup | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Russian Super Cup | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 1 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1594 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Champions League | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 8 | 633 | 6 | 2 | 1605 |
| 2015/16 | Russian Cup | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 5 | 308 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Russian Super Cup | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg | 1 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1513 |
| 2014/15 | Russian Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Russian Cup | FK Rostov | 3 | 288 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League | FK Spartak Moskva | 4 | 130 | 0 | 0 | 1543 |
| 2012/13 | Russian Cup | FK Spartak Moskva | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FK Spartak Moskva | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1503 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burak Yilmaz Eredivisie · 2023 | 38 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Steven Thompson Scottish Premiership · 2013 | 35 | €700k | €400k | fell |
| Esteban Solari Super League 1 · 2014 | 34 | €750k | €800k | flat |
| Eric Bicfalvi Premier Liga · 2022 | 34 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Max Gradel Super Lig · 2023 | 36 | €1.6M | €750k | fell |
| Jelle Vossen Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 33 | €800k | €300k | fell |
| Papiss Cissé Super Lig · 2019 | 34 | €1.8M | €450k | fell |
| Michiel Kramer Eredivisie · 2022 | 34 | €375k | €275k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Akron Tolyatti | Without Club | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 12 Sept 2024 | Loko Moscow | Akron Tolyatti | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 8 Feb 2023 | Without Club | Loko Moscow | Unknown | €4.0M |
| 3 Nov 2022 | Adana Demirspor | Without Club | Unknown | €4.0M |
| 18 Aug 2022 | Zenit S-Pb | Adana Demirspor | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2018 | Arsenal Tula | Zenit S-Pb | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 31 Jan 2018 | Zenit S-Pb | Arsenal Tula | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Spartak Moscow | Zenit S-Pb | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2015 | Rostov | Spartak Moscow | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 27 Feb 2015 | Spartak Moscow | Rostov | Free / loan | €7.5M |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Rostov | Spartak Moscow | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Spartak Moscow | Rostov | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 31 Dec 2010 | Tom Tomsk | Spartak Moscow | Free / loan | €700k |
| 8 Apr 2010 | Spartak Moscow | Tom Tomsk | Free / loan | €700k |
| 31 Dec 2009 | Tom Tomsk | Spartak Moscow | Free / loan | €750k |
| 1 Aug 2009 | Spartak Moscow | Tom Tomsk | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jan 2007 | Spartak II | Spartak Moscow | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 4 Nov 2004 | Akademia FCSM | Spartak II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.