
Youssef Maziz
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Youssef Maziz's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.11x the positional average in the league (1557 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 46
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 37.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €604k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -41% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1557 (58% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.35
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.45
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 37 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1329
- Opponent strength
- 1376
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €330k – €880k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -53% (IQR -56% to +1%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1557 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 27 | 1557 | 58% | 3 | 3 | 0.35 | 0.45 | 1376 | 1329 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 30 | 1423 | 53% | 3 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.36 | 1370 | 1323 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 24 | 1590 | 59% | 4 | 6 | 0.57 | 0.59 | 1374 | 1302 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | LW | 2 | 126 | 4% | 1 | 0 | 0.71 | 0.74 | 1553 | 1284 | 0.87 |
| 2021/22 | RFC Seraing | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 33 | 2815 | 92% | 8 | 9 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 1347 | 1144 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | AM | 11 | 254 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1406 | 1341 | 0.75 |
| 2016/17 | FC Metz | Ligue 1 | AM | 1 | 14 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.64 | 1563 | 1336 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 9 | 540 | 0 | 1 | 1372 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Fixelles Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 27 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Rui Pedro Liga Portugal · 2015 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Samba Sow Super Lig · 2017 | 28 | €1.0M | €2.0M | rose |
| Jakob Jantscher Super Lig · 2017 | 28 | €1.7M | €750k | fell |
| Nils Schouterden Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 29 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| Pavlo Khudzik Premier Liga · 2013 | 28 | €700k | €300k | fell |
| Oleksiy Polyanskyi Premier Liga · 2014 | 28 | €900k | €400k | fell |
| Efecan Karaca Super Lig · 2017 | 28 | €500k | €1.3M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | OH Leuven | Without Club | Unknown | €1.0M |
| 29 Aug 2023 | FC Metz | OH Leuven | €1.5M | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | RFC Seraing | FC Metz | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 19 Jul 2021 | FC Metz | RFC Seraing | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | FC Metz B | FC Metz | Unknown | €725k |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Le Mans FC | FC Metz B | Free / loan | €725k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | FC Metz B | Le Mans FC | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2019 | US Avranches | FC Metz B | Free / loan | €300k |
| 11 Jul 2018 | FC Metz B | US Avranches | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | FC Metz U19 | FC Metz B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Metz U17 | FC Metz U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Amnéville Jgd | Metz U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Metz Youth | Amnéville Jgd | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.