Krépin Diatta

27 yrs · Right midfielder (also LM, RW) · Senegal
AS Monaco · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 173 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2026
Market value
€6.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€2.7M – €7.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.2M – €3.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.1M – €5.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€5.0M – €1.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.7M – €7.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.2M – €3.8M
Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €5.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Krépin Diatta's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-3.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.7M-7.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.1M-5.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.43x the positional average in the league (1011 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 22

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average56.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.3 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €4.7M vs market €6.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-38% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €21.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1011 (33% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.09
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.10
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
56 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1527
Opponent strength
1415
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.1M – €5.7M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 17 pts; relative output up 34% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -43% (IQR -59% to +33%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1011 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26AS MonacoLigue 1RM18101133%010.090.10141515270.88
2024/25AS MonacoLigue 1RM1949616%000.000.07142415710.88
2023/24AS MonacoLigue 1RW26119439%020.150.25145315730.87
2022/23AS MonacoLigue 1RW31207861%440.350.26144814850.82
2021/22AS MonacoLigue 1RW82818%100.320.28140215990.86
2020/21Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueRW19150449%1020.720.34134315700.55
2020/21AS MonacoLigue 1RW1238311%100.230.28137115490.75
2019/20Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueRM22168665%630.480.25138515780.63
2018/19Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueLM13101137%140.450.25137515460.65

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsSenegal654001—
2025/26World CupSenegal327000—
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueAS Monaco3179011711
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueAS Monaco4211001628
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueAS Monaco8553121496
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingAS Monaco290001670
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueAS Monaco3195101483
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingAS Monaco254001524
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV5416001627
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV5437101626
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingClub Brugge KV3129011529
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueClub Brugge KV129001670
2018/19Volkswagen SupercupClub Brugge KV180001408
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueClub Brugge KV272001683
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV27001493

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Mohamed Fares
Serie A · 2021
25€5.5M€2.0Mfell
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
Serie A · 2021
29€3.5M€1.5Mfell
Maurice Edu
Super Lig · 2013
27€2.3M€1.0Mfell
Étienne Capoue
Premier League · 2015
27€7.5M€9.0Mrose
Landry N'Guémo
Ligue 1 · 2013
28€2.0M€1.5Mfell
Danilo Cataldi
Serie A · 2021
27€2.5M€10.0Mrose
Matías Fernández
Serie A · 2013
27€5.0M€9.0Mrose
Alexandru Bourceanu
Super Lig · 2014
29€4.0M€600kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
21 Jan 2021Club BruggeMonaco€16.7M€18.0M
3 Jan 2018Sarpsborg 08Club Brugge€2.6M€1.0M
26 Feb 2017Oslo FA DakarSarpsborg 08€50kData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.