Kalvin Ketu
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kalvin Ketu's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.04x the positional average in the league (1620 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 81
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 5.3th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €251k vs market €450k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -23% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1620 (69% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.39
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.42
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 5 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1138
- Opponent strength
- 1219
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €284k – €434k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -38% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1620 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 19 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 99%–112%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 47%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 | LW | 24 | 1620 | 69% | 2 | 5 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 1219 | 1138 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | A.G.S Asteras Tripolis | 4 | 161 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomás Super League 1 · 2021 | 28 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Aron Sigurdarson Superliga · 2023 | 30 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Sandi Krizman Super League 1 · 2018 | 29 | €600k | €400k | fell |
| Benjamin Stokke Superliga · 2019 | 29 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Adrián Sardinero Super League 1 · 2021 | 31 | €600k | €100k | fell |
| Marc Höcher Eredivisie · 2013 | 29 | €500k | €350k | fell |
| Marcus Haber Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 28 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Emil Nielsen Superliga · 2021 | 28 | €350k | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Asteras Aktor B | Asteras Aktor | Unknown | €250k |
| 3 Aug 2024 | Hércules CF | Asteras Aktor B | Free / loan | €200k |
| 13 Jul 2023 | At. Saguntino | Hércules CF | Free / loan | €150k |
| 24 Jan 2023 | Racing Rioja CF | At. Saguntino | Free / loan | €150k |
| 22 Aug 2022 | CyD Leonesa | Racing Rioja CF | Free / loan | €150k |
| 7 Jul 2021 | Rayo B | CyD Leonesa | Free / loan | €150k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | UP Langreo | Rayo B | Free / loan | €150k |
| 21 Sept 2020 | Rayo B | UP Langreo | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Alcobendas CF | Rayo B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Unknown | Alcobendas CF | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.