Antef Tsoungui
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Antef Tsoungui's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-2.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 43
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 17.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €1.1M vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +5% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1372 (45% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1305
- Opponent strength
- 1329
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €594k – €2.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -16% (IQR -26% to +18%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1372 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 66 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 57%–168%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | GD Estoril Praia | Liga Portugal | CB | 23 | 1372 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1329 | 1305 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 2 | 44 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1308 | 1323 | 0.63 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentine Ozornwafor Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 23 | €750k | €200k | fell |
| Jordy de Wijs Eredivisie · 2017 | 22 | €600k | €1.8M | rose |
| Konstantin Pliev Premier Liga · 2020 | 24 | €650k | €700k | flat |
| Gilles Ruyssen Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 22 | €500k | €350k | fell |
| Dimitri Lavalée Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 24 | €800k | €700k | flat |
| Aleksandar Bjelica Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 22 | €650k | €1.0M | rose |
| Lucas Rougeaux Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 24 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Roderick Miranda Liga Portugal · 2014 | 23 | €1.0M | €750k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Feyenoord | Estoril | Free / loan | €650k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | OH Leuven | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €650k |
| 13 Aug 2024 | Feyenoord | OH Leuven | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | FC Dordrecht | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €800k |
| 2 Jul 2023 | Feyenoord | FC Dordrecht | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Brighton U21 | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €250k |
| 24 Mar 2023 | Lommel SK | Brighton U21 | Free / loan | €250k |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Brighton U21 | Lommel SK | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Brighton U18 | Brighton U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Chelsea Youth | Brighton U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.