Danilo

The model rates Danilo's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-3.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.67x the positional average in the league (834 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

834 (27% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.54

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.31

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

51 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.31 (rank 15)

Team strength (Elo)

1406

Opponent strength

1148

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€504k – €1.8M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -35% to +2%).

• ▲Small sample: 834 league minutes last season.
• ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

12 (ATT)

Relative output kept

75%–114%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

67%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.