Edoardo Corvi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Edoardo Corvi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-3.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-3.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 75
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 42.4th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €1.5M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +27% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1530 (45% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1374
- Opponent strength
- 1486
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €809k – €3.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -43% (IQR -56% to -35%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1530 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | GK | 17 | 1530 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1486 | 1374 | 0.93 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samir Ujkani Serie A · 2013 | 25 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Guy Ndy Assembé Ligue 1 · 2013 | 27 | €1.3M | €800k | fell |
| Iván Villar Laliga · 2023 | 26 | €2.0M | €900k | fell |
| Mamadou Samassa Ligue 1 · 2014 | 24 | €1.0M | €800k | fell |
| Sinan Bolat Super Lig · 2014 | 26 | €1.0M | €700k | fell |
| Alaa Bellaarouch Ligue 1 · 2024 | 22 | €2.0M | €400k | fell |
| Zacharie Boucher Ligue 1 · 2015 | 23 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
| Soslan Dzhanaev Premier Liga · 2013 | 26 | €750k | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2022 | Legnago | Parma | Free / loan | €100k |
| 13 Jan 2021 | Parma | Legnago | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Parma U19 | Parma | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Parma U17 | Parma U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Parma FC Youth | Parma U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.