
Tolgay Arslan
36 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM, DM) · Germany
Sanfrecce Hiroshima · J1 League · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Contract: Data unavailable
No model evaluation for this player. MoneyballAI evaluates players with at least 450 league minutes last season in leagues where match-level player data is available from the current free source (14 European top divisions). Market value and transfer history are still shown below.
Market value
€450k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
—
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
—
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
—
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
—
Model value − acquisition
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Highest recorded: €7.5M
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CM | 36 | 1197 | 35% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 1444 | 1421 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | CM | 30 | 1669 | 49% | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 1468 | 1436 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | DM | 30 | 1833 | 54% | 3 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 1441 | 1387 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | CM | 13 | 354 | 12% | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.17 | 1329 | 1330 | 0.45 |
| 2018/19 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | CM | 11 | 689 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1416 | 1438 | 0.58 |
| 2018/19 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CM | 8 | 407 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1370 | 1521 | 0.58 |
| 2017/18 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CM | 29 | 1728 | 56% | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 1385 | 1634 | 0.68 |
| 2016/17 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CM | 30 | 1819 | 59% | 0 | 7 | 0.35 | 0.21 | 1348 | 1610 | 0.62 |
| 2015/16 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CM | 6 | 200 | 7% | 0 | 1 | 0.45 | 0.19 | 1414 | 1571 | 0.64 |
| 2014/15 | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | Super Lig | CM | 16 | 1030 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1409 | 1548 | 0.72 |
| 2014/15 | Hamburger SV | Bundesliga | CM | 13 | 649 | 21% | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | 0.33 | 1567 | 1395 | 1.03 |
| 2013/14 | Hamburger SV | Bundesliga | CM | 32 | 2474 | 81% | 1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 1556 | 1373 | 1.03 |
| 2012/13 | Hamburger SV | Bundesliga | AM | 25 | 1659 | 54% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.17 | 1451 | 1516 | 1.11 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 3 | 99 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 6 | 509 | 1 | 0 | 1387 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1519 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 2 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1551 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 6 | 323 | 0 | 0 | 1688 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 5 | 332 | 0 | 0 | 1663 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 5 | 167 | 0 | 0 | 1491 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Beşiktaş Jimnastik Kulübü | 3 | 240 | 1 | 0 | 1584 |
| 2014/15 | Dfb Pokal | Hamburger SV | 2 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Dfb Pokal | Hamburger SV | 4 | 297 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Dfb Pokal | Hamburger SV | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
No comparables computed for this player.
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Sanf. Hiroshima | Retired | Unknown | €450k |
| 22 Jul 2024 | Melbourne City | Sanf. Hiroshima | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Udinese | Melbourne City | Free / loan | €1.4M |
| 18 Sept 2020 | Fenerbahçe | Udinese | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 31 Jan 2019 | Besiktas | Fenerbahçe | €3.2M | €5.0M |
| 27 Jan 2015 | Hamburg | Besiktas | €450k | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2011 | Alem. Aachen | Hamburg | Free / loan | €1.3M |
| 2 Jul 2010 | Hamburg | Alem. Aachen | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2009 | B. Dortmund U19 | Hamburg | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2007 | B. Dortmund U17 | B. Dortmund U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2005 | Dortmund Yth. | B. Dortmund U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2003 | SCW Pad. Yth. | Dortmund Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.