
Junior Dina Ebimbe
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Junior Dina Ebimbe's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-8.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.4M-6.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-7.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.24x the positional average in the league (1167 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 82
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 57.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €3.2M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1167 (38% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.39
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.27
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 58 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1407
- Opponent strength
- 1494
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.5M – €7.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -48% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1167 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 | RM | 27 | 1167 | 38% | 5 | 0 | 0.39 | 0.27 | 1494 | 1407 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | LM | 7 | 291 | 10% | 0 | 2 | 0.62 | 0.30 | 1541 | 1574 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | RM | 31 | 1969 | 64% | 5 | 3 | 0.37 | 0.23 | 1521 | 1498 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | CM | 19 | 1060 | 35% | 3 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.21 | 1506 | 1541 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | CM | 10 | 315 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1366 | 1714 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | Dijon FCO | Ligue 1 | RM | 30 | 2152 | 63% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.17 | 1455 | 1211 | 0.75 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Cameroon | 3 | 85 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 186 | 2 | 0 | 1446 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1375 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 162 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 240 | 0 | 0 | 1634 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 166 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Trophee Des Champions | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1610 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1519 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wylan Cyprien Ligue 1 · 2022 | 27 | €4.5M | €1.1M | fell |
| Jens Cajuste Ligue 1 · 2023 | 24 | €6.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Omar El Kaddouri Serie A · 2017 | 27 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Clément Grenier Ligue 1 · 2018 | 27 | €4.0M | €5.5M | rose |
| Boschilia Ligue 1 · 2019 | 23 | €7.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Luca Rizzo Serie A · 2016 | 24 | €3.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Robert Skov Bundesliga · 2023 | 27 | €6.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Tom Carroll Premier League · 2017 | 25 | €6.0M | €4.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Stade Brestois | Frankfurt | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Sept 2025 | Frankfurt | Stade Brestois | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | PSG | Frankfurt | €6.5M | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Frankfurt | PSG | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 21 Aug 2022 | PSG | Frankfurt | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Dijon | PSG | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 3 Jul 2020 | PSG | Dijon | Free / loan | €900k |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Le Havre AC | PSG | Free / loan | €900k |
| 5 Jul 2019 | PSG | Le Havre AC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Paris SG B | PSG | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Paris SG U19 | Paris SG B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Paris SG U17 | Paris SG U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | PSG Youth | Paris SG U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Sarcelles Jgd. | PSG Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.