Tanguy Nianzou

24 yrs · Centre-back · France
Sevilla FC · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 191 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€1.2M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€517k – €1.5M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.3M – €3.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€616k – €2.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€191k – €3.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€517k – €1.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.3M – €3.5M
Projected value (24 months)€616k – €2.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Tanguy Nianzou's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-3.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-2.7M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAverage42.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €689k vs market €1.2M
Expected appreciationNeutral+8% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €12.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
646 (19% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
43 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1397
Opponent strength
1481
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€616k – €2.7M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -47% to -13%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 646 league minutes last season.
  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Sevilla FCLaligaCB1264619%000.000.06148113970.95
2024/25Sevilla FCLaligaCB652015%000.000.04145414100.95
2023/24Sevilla FCLaligaCB83159%000.000.07155414751.00
2022/23Sevilla FCLaligaCB19137040%100.070.06150015830.98
2021/22Bayern MunichBundesligaCB1757319%110.310.06146318471.05
2020/21Bayern MunichBundesligaCB61154%000.000.03149218981.06
2019/20Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1CB645219%200.400.10141517790.82

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2023/24Copa Del ReySevilla FC426400—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueSevilla FC231001738
2022/23Copa Del ReySevilla FC536810—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueSevilla FC4343001603
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueSevilla FC2180101755
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueBayern Munich4212001612
2021/22Dfb PokalBayern Munich19000—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueParis Saint-Germain276001480

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Igor Bubnjic
Serie A · 2016
24€900k€400kfell
Luca Bittante
Serie A · 2016
23€1.1M€600kfell
Emanuele Suagher
Serie A · 2016
24€800k€400kfell
Cristian Dell'Orco
Serie A · 2017
23€1.0M€1.0Mflat
Jorge Meré
Laliga · 2023
26€1.2M€1.0Mflat
Momo Mbaye
Laliga · 2023
25€700k€400kfell
Santiago Arzamendia
Laliga · 2023
25€1.2M€1.8Mrose
Anthony Lippini
Ligue 1 · 2013
25€600k€400kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
17 Aug 2022Bayern MunichSevilla FC€16.0M€9.0M
1 Jul 2020PSGBayern MunichFree / loan€11.0M
1 Jul 2019Paris SG U19PSGUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Paris SG U17Paris SG U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017PSG YouthParis SG U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Nov 2016RCPF JugendPSG YouthFree / loanData unavailable
1 Feb 2013US Sénart JgdRCPF JugendFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.