Óscar Gil
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Óscar Gil's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.72x the positional average in the league (2023 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 61
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 35.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €478k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2023 (75% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 36 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1329
- Opponent strength
- 1388
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €321k – €786k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 38 pts; role change RB -> RM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -10% (IQR -38% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | RM | 27 | 2023 | 75% | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 1388 | 1329 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 17 | 1009 | 37% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 1299 | 1323 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | Laliga | RB | 33 | 2567 | 75% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 1524 | 1382 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | Laliga | RB | 22 | 1697 | 50% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 1535 | 1416 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 6 | 302 | 0 | 1 | 1404 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | 3 | 209 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | 2 | 129 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Boya Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 27 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Jorge Correa Liga Portugal · 2019 | 26 | €800k | €700k | flat |
| Joe Newell Scottish Premiership · 2021 | 28 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| Steve De Ridder Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 29 | €1.0M | €700k | fell |
| Elmar Bjarnason Superliga · 2014 | 27 | €650k | €600k | flat |
| Luís Aurélio Liga Portugal · 2017 | 29 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Rui Sampaio Liga Portugal · 2015 | 28 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
| Azamat Zaseev Premier Liga · 2017 | 29 | €700k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2024 | Espanyol | OH Leuven | Free / loan | €800k |
| 7 Sept 2020 | Elche CF | Espanyol | €500k | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Elche Ilicitano | Elche CF | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Elche U19 | Elche Ilicitano | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.