Scott Arfield

The model rates Scott Arfield's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.54x the positional average in the league (720 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

720 (24% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.13

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.34

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

14 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.31 (rank 26)

Team strength (Elo)

1114

Opponent strength

1257

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

insufficient

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€28k – €107k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -10% to +0%).

• ▲Small sample: 720 league minutes last season.
• ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
• ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
• ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

10 (MID)

Relative output kept

77%–107%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

80%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.