Vítor Carvalho

The model rates Vítor Carvalho's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-5.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-3.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-3.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1062 (35% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.34

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.16

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

64 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.58 (rank 9)

Team strength (Elo)

1533

Opponent strength

1337

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.1M – €3.4M

Trajectory drivers: role change DM -> CB; relative output up 572% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -65% to -19%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1062 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

66 (DEF)

Relative output kept

57%–168%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

76%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.