Mohammed Salisu
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mohammed Salisu's performance-implied value at EUR 5.8M-22.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.8M-12.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.7M-10.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 7
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 81.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €9.1M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -42% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1080 (35% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 82 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1527
- Opponent strength
- 1485
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.7M – €10.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -38% (IQR -57% to -28%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1080 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | CB | 12 | 1080 | 35% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1485 | 1527 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | CB | 15 | 1021 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 1424 | 1571 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | CB | 12 | 1035 | 34% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 1480 | 1573 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Southampton FC | Premier League | CB | 22 | 1973 | 58% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 1574 | 1375 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Southampton FC | Premier League | CB | 34 | 2972 | 87% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1571 | 1436 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Southampton FC | Premier League | CB | 12 | 842 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1591 | 1468 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Real Valladolid CF | Laliga | CB | 31 | 2726 | 80% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 1532 | 1465 | 1.16 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 5 | 443 | 0 | 0 | 1583 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 6 | 477 | 1 | 0 | 1715 |
| 2024/25 | Trophee Des Champions | AS Monaco | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1728 |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Southampton FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Southampton FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Southampton FC | 3 | 108 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Real Valladolid CF | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Real Valladolid CF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Getafe CF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Hugo Serie A · 2018 | 27 | €7.5M | €4.8M | fell |
| Reto Ziegler Super Lig · 2013 | 27 | €6.5M | €1.3M | fell |
| Youcef Atal Ligue 1 · 2023 | 27 | €7.0M | €4.3M | fell |
| Lucas Martínez Quarta Serie A · 2022 | 26 | €12.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Adama Soumaoro Ligue 1 · 2019 | 27 | €10.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Davide Santon Serie A · 2017 | 26 | €5.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Kirill Kombarov Premier Liga · 2013 | 26 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Pablo Armero Serie A · 2013 | 27 | €9.0M | €4.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2023 | Southampton | Monaco | €15.0M | €18.0M |
| 12 Aug 2020 | Real Valladolid | Southampton | €12.0M | €12.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Valladolid Prom | Real Valladolid | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Valladolid U19 | R. Valladolid B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Oct 2017 | African Talent | Valladolid U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.