Aaron Meijers
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Aaron Meijers's performance-implied value at EUR 0.0M-0.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.1M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 0.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 38.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €66k vs market €75k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +11% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 494 (16% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 0 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1101
- Opponent strength
- 1361
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €59k – €102k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-69 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR +0% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 494 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 39: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Volendam | Eredivisie | LB | 12 | 494 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1361 | 1101 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | LB | 17 | 752 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1350 | 1171 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | RKC Waalwijk | Eredivisie | LB | 28 | 2314 | 76% | 0 | 6 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 1357 | 1193 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LB | 13 | 284 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1279 | 1394 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LB | 12 | 740 | 24% | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 1287 | 1295 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LB | 24 | 1115 | 36% | 0 | 5 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 1320 | 1320 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | LB | 26 | 2106 | 90% | 2 | 4 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 1390 | 1267 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | LB | 31 | 2742 | 90% | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 1359 | 1369 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | LB | 33 | 2970 | 97% | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 1329 | 1310 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | LB | 19 | 1641 | 54% | 0 | 5 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 1345 | 1259 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | LB | 30 | 2697 | 88% | 1 | 4 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 1315 | 1329 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | LB | 33 | 2970 | 97% | 0 | 6 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 1344 | 1266 | 0.52 |
| 2013/14 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | LB | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 1 | 4 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 1344 | 1315 | 0.59 |
| 2012/13 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | LB | 31 | 2693 | 88% | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 1363 | 1298 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | FC Volendam | 4 | 213 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | RKC Waalwijk | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | RKC Waalwijk | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 169 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 66 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 154 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2013/14 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themistoklis Tzimopoulos Super League 1 · 2023 | 38 | €125k | €75k | fell |
| Sergiy Siminin Premier Liga · 2023 | 36 | €50k | €50k | flat |
| Dusko Tosic Super Lig · 2021 | 36 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Fedor Kudryashov Premier Liga · 2024 | 37 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Oleksiy Dytyatyev Premier Liga · 2023 | 35 | €50k | €50k | flat |
| Murat Akça Super Lig · 2024 | 34 | €75k | €75k | flat |
| Mads Justesen Superliga · 2018 | 35 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Carl Tremarco Scottish Premiership · 2021 | 36 | €200k | €200k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | FC Volendam | Retired | Unknown | €75k |
| 31 Jul 2025 | RKC Waalwijk | FC Volendam | Free / loan | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Sparta R. | RKC Waalwijk | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Aug 2021 | ADO Den Haag | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €325k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Sparta R. | ADO Den Haag | Free / loan | €325k |
| 16 Sept 2020 | ADO Den Haag | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €550k |
| 1 Jul 2012 | RKC Waalwijk | ADO Den Haag | Free / loan | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2010 | FC Volendam | RKC Waalwijk | Free / loan | €325k |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Volendam U19 | FC Volendam | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2004 | Volendam U17 | Volendam U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2002 | Volendam Youth | Volendam U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.