
Hugo Siquet
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Hugo Siquet's performance-implied value at EUR 1.8M-6.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.0M-5.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-5.5M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 50.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 24 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €3.7M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 657 (24% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 51 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1589
- Opponent strength
- 1328
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.6M – €5.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -49% to -8%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 657 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 21 | 657 | 24% | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.07 | 1328 | 1589 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 14 | 448 | 17% | 2 | 1 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 1339 | 1552 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | RM | 20 | 1625 | 60% | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 1381 | 1394 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | RM | 14 | 1085 | 35% | 2 | 2 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 1314 | 1373 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga | RB | 2 | 15 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1428 | 1561 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 17 | 1442 | 47% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1345 | 1248 | 0.49 |
| 2021/22 | SC Freiburg | Bundesliga | RB | 1 | 21 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1909 | 1543 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 16 | 1198 | 39% | 0 | 5 | 0.38 | 0.21 | 1365 | 1392 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | Club Brugge KV | 10 | 630 | 0 | 1 | 1413 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 211 | 0 | 0 | 1738 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 1443 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1681 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | SC Freiburg | 1 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1499 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Standard Liège | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1469 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej Mitrovic Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 25 | €4.0M | €2.4M | fell |
| Jonathan Silva Liga Portugal · 2018 | 24 | €2.8M | €3.2M | flat |
| Marcos López Eredivisie · 2023 | 24 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Cristián Borja Liga Portugal · 2019 | 26 | €3.5M | €3.0M | flat |
| Bruno Gaspar Liga Portugal · 2019 | 26 | €3.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Naby Sarr Liga Portugal · 2015 | 22 | €2.5M | €800k | fell |
| Atinc Nukan Super Lig · 2015 | 22 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Stefan Ristovski Liga Portugal · 2018 | 26 | €2.5M | €3.2M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2024 | Freiburg | Club Brugge | €3.0M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Cercle Brugge | Freiburg | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 14 Jan 2023 | Freiburg | Cercle Brugge | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Standard Liège | Freiburg | €4.5M | €7.0M |
| 7 Nov 2020 | Standard U21 | Standard Liège | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Standard U18 | Standard U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Standard Yth | Standard U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.