Hugo Siquet

24 yrs · Right-back (also RM) · Belgium
Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€4.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€2.0M – €5.5M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.8M – €6.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.6M – €5.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.7M – €4.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.0M – €5.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.8M – €6.0M
Projected value (24 months)€1.6M – €5.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Hugo Siquet's performance-implied value at EUR 1.8M-6.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.0M-5.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-5.5M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAverage50.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable24 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €3.7M vs market €4.0M
Expected appreciationLow-16% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €7.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
657 (24% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.14
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.07
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
51 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1589
Opponent strength
1328
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.6M – €5.5M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -49% to -8%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 657 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
76 (DEF)
Relative output kept
67%–160%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
76%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueRB2165724%010.140.07132815890.65
2024/25Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueRB1444817%210.600.20133915520.63
2023/24Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueRM20162560%030.170.21138113940.63
2022/23Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueRM14108535%220.330.32131413730.58
2022/23SC FreiburgBundesligaRB2150%000.000.11142815611.04
2021/22Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueRB17144247%010.060.07134512480.49
2021/22SC FreiburgBundesligaRB1211%000.000.26190915431.05
2020/21Standard LiègeJupiler Pro LeagueRB16119839%050.380.21136513920.55

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Playoff IClub Brugge KV10630011413
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV6211001738
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingClub Brugge KV348001443
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV468001681
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueSC Freiburg172001499
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueStandard Liège145001469

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Matej Mitrovic
Jupiler Pro League · 2018
25€4.0M€2.4Mfell
Jonathan Silva
Liga Portugal · 2018
24€2.8M€3.2Mflat
Marcos López
Eredivisie · 2023
24€4.0M€2.5Mfell
Cristián Borja
Liga Portugal · 2019
26€3.5M€3.0Mflat
Bruno Gaspar
Liga Portugal · 2019
26€3.5M€1.0Mfell
Naby Sarr
Liga Portugal · 2015
22€2.5M€800kfell
Atinc Nukan
Super Lig · 2015
22€2.5M€1.5Mfell
Stefan Ristovski
Liga Portugal · 2018
26€2.5M€3.2Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
23 Jul 2024FreiburgClub Brugge€3.0M€5.0M
30 Jun 2024Cercle BruggeFreiburgFree / loan€5.0M
14 Jan 2023FreiburgCercle BruggeFree / loan€3.0M
1 Jan 2022Standard LiègeFreiburg€4.5M€7.0M
7 Nov 2020Standard U21Standard LiègeUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2019Standard U18Standard U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Standard YthStandard U18UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.