Gökhan Değirmenci
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Gökhan Değirmenci's performance-implied value at EUR 0.0M-0.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.0M-0.1M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 7.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 37.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €60k vs market €50k |
| Expected appreciation | High | +14% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 285 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 855 (28% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 8 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1188
- Opponent strength
- 1270
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €25k – €104k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -11% (IQR -38% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 855 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 138 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–145%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 59%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kocaelispor | Super Lig | GK | 10 | 855 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1270 | 1188 | 0.40 |
| 2016/17 | Gaziantepspor (- 2020) | Super Lig | GK | 13 | 1170 | 38% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1392 | 1196 | 0.62 |
| 2014/15 | Kayseri Erciyesspor | Super Lig | GK | 26 | 2295 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1434 | 1269 | 0.72 |
| 2013/14 | Kayseri Erciyesspor | Super Lig | GK | 15 | 1350 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1468 | 1334 | 0.78 |
| 2013/14 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | GK | 7 | 624 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1479 | 1336 | 0.78 |
| 2012/13 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | GK | 5 | 439 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1392 | 1498 | 0.89 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wouter Biebauw Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 38 | €50k | €50k | flat |
| Patrick De Vlamynck Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 38 | €100k | €100k | flat |
| Ferhat Kaplan Super Lig · 2023 | 34 | €50k | €25k | fell |
| Yevgen Past Premier Liga · 2023 | 35 | €150k | €100k | fell |
| Khalid Sinouh Eredivisie · 2013 | 38 | €50k | €100k | rose |
| Ryan Esson Scottish Premiership · 2017 | 37 | €125k | €100k | fell |
| Ögmundur Kristinsson Super League 1 · 2024 | 35 | €150k | €150k | flat |
| Boy Waterman Super League 1 · 2022 | 38 | €100k | €50k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Kocaelispor | Without Club | Unknown | €50k |
| 19 Jul 2022 | Bandirmaspor | Kocaelispor | Free / loan | €150k |
| 9 Sept 2020 | Akhisarspor | Bandirmaspor | Free / loan | €200k |
| 9 Jul 2019 | Boluspor | Akhisarspor | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Aug 2017 | Gaziantepspor | Boluspor | Free / loan | €500k |
| 14 Jul 2016 | Göztepe | Gaziantepspor | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | K. Erciyesspor | Göztepe | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 3 Feb 2014 | Kayserispor | K. Erciyesspor | Free / loan | €1.4M |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Altay SK | Kayserispor | €340k | €700k |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Altay SK Yth | Altay SK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.