Víctor García
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Víctor García's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-3.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-1.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.02x the positional average in the league (1040 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 87
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 41.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €778k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1040 (30% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.26
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.40
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 42 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1454
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €666k – €1.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -57% (IQR -79% to -32%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1040 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Levante UD | Laliga | RW | 21 | 1040 | 30% | 2 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.40 | 1454 | 1420 | 0.95 |
| 2019/20 | Real Valladolid CF | Laliga | RW | 2 | 88 | 3% | 1 | 0 | 1.02 | 0.53 | 1524 | 1465 | 1.16 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Levante UD | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Manuel Arnáiz Laliga · 2024 | 29 | €2.0M | €900k | fell |
| Kamel Ghilas Ligue 1 · 2013 | 29 | €1.0M | €600k | fell |
| Barreto Serie A · 2013 | 28 | €1.9M | €200k | fell |
| Sven Schipplock Bundesliga · 2016 | 28 | €2.0M | €350k | fell |
| Anthony Ujah Bundesliga · 2020 | 30 | €1.2M | €500k | fell |
| Nenê Serie A · 2013 | 30 | €1.8M | €400k | fell |
| Christopher Antwi-Adjei Bundesliga · 2022 | 28 | €1.0M | €1.2M | rose |
| Abdoul Camara Ligue 1 · 2018 | 28 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2025 | Eldense | Levante | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | AD Alcorcón | Eldense | Free / loan | €500k |
| 16 Aug 2022 | Real Valladolid | AD Alcorcón | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Dep. La Coruña | Real Valladolid | Free / loan | €400k |
| 27 Aug 2021 | Real Valladolid | Dep. La Coruña | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | CE Sabadell | Real Valladolid | Free / loan | €400k |
| 6 Aug 2020 | Real Valladolid | CE Sabadell | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Valladolid Prom | Real Valladolid | Unknown | €250k |
| 26 Jul 2019 | Depor Fabril | Valladolid Prom | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Torre Levante | Depor Fabril | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Torre L. U19 | Torre Levante | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.