Oleksandr Karavaev

The model rates Oleksandr Karavaev's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-1.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1530 (57% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.53

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.30

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

45 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.25 (rank 30)

Team strength (Elo)

1324

Opponent strength

1186

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€190k – €729k

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 17 pts; team strength down (-82 Elo); relative output up 53% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -67% (IQR -77% to -54%).

• ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ▲Age 34: resale value typically declines.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1530 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

11 (DEF)

Relative output kept

108%–176%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

82%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.