Owen Maës
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Owen Maës's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.81x the positional average in the league (1211 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 73
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 14.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €368k vs market €500k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1211 (45% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.33
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 14 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1297
- Opponent strength
- 1370
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €260k – €625k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -41% to -17%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1211 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 20 | 1211 | 45% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.33 | 1370 | 1296 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | RAAL La Louvière | 2 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1223 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Premier Liga · 2019 | 27 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Nuno Valente Liga Portugal · 2019 | 28 | €500k | €150k | fell |
| Erik Bakker Eredivisie · 2018 | 28 | €750k | €475k | fell |
| Brice Dja Djedje Super Lig · 2019 | 29 | €700k | €400k | fell |
| Bruno Ramires Liga Portugal · 2021 | 27 | €400k | €375k | flat |
| Vasyl Grytsuk Premier Liga · 2016 | 29 | €400k | €600k | rose |
| Hilal Ben Moussa Eredivisie · 2019 | 27 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Alassane N'Diaye Premier Liga · 2018 | 28 | €300k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2023 | CS Sedan | La Louvière | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Red Star FC | CS Sedan | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Without Club | Red Star FC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Monaco B | Without Club | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 6 Aug 2019 | RC Lens B | Monaco B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 10 Jul 2018 | SM Caen B | RC Lens B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | SM Caen U19 | SM Caen B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.