
Charles-Andreas Brym
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Charles-Andreas Brym's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.09x the positional average in the league (1506 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 87
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 7.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €217k vs market €350k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1506 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.36
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.55
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 8 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1118
- Opponent strength
- 1325
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €227k – €421k
Trajectory drivers: changed club.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -12% to +15%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1506 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | NAC Breda | Eredivisie | ST | 24 | 1506 | 49% | 2 | 4 | 0.36 | 0.55 | 1325 | 1118 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Almere City FC | Eredivisie | ST | 17 | 1301 | 43% | 3 | 2 | 0.35 | 0.66 | 1319 | 1131 | 0.50 |
| 2024/25 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | ST | 12 | 301 | 10% | 0 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 1254 | 1300 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | ST | 31 | 1370 | 45% | 4 | 2 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 1332 | 1327 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LW | 2 | 9 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.70 | 1542 | 1394 | 0.58 |
| 2020/21 | Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022) | Jupiler Pro League | ST | 7 | 198 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.51 | 1381 | 1244 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | B SAD | Liga Portugal | ST | 1 | 10 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.62 | 1364 | 1243 | 0.59 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | NAC Breda | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 183 | 3 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Eindhoven | 2 | 210 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panagiotis Moraitis Super League 1 · 2024 | 27 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Frederik Gytkjaer Superliga · 2020 | 27 | €325k | €400k | rose |
| Bachana Arabuli Super League 1 · 2022 | 28 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Kristian Kirkegaard Superliga · 2024 | 27 | €400k | €450k | flat |
| Washington Brandão Superliga · 2019 | 29 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Mendy Mamadou Super Lig · 2024 | 26 | €450k | €450k | flat |
| Andrés Ponce Superliga · 2022 | 26 | €350k | €600k | rose |
| Vasilios Koutsianikoulis Super League 1 · 2015 | 27 | €500k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2025 | Almere City | NAC Breda | €150k | €450k |
| 4 Jan 2025 | Sparta R. | Almere City | Unknown | €450k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | FC Eindhoven | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €325k |
| 29 Aug 2022 | Sparta R. | FC Eindhoven | Free / loan | €325k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | FC Eindhoven | Sparta R. | €250k | €325k |
| 30 Aug 2021 | Mouscron | FC Eindhoven | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Aug 2020 | LOSC Lille B | Mouscron | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2020 | B SAD U23 | LOSC Lille B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 29 Jul 2019 | LOSC Lille B | B SAD U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 Jan 2018 | Zulte U19 | LOSC Lille B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.