
Djevencio van der Kust
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Djevencio van der Kust's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 94
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 0.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €192k vs market €350k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1207 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 1 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1060
- Opponent strength
- 1316
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €233k – €414k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-212 Elo); league level down (-44 Elo); relative output up 99% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -17% to +11%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1207 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | LB | 21 | 1207 | 39% | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 1316 | 1060 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LB | 13 | 923 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1305 | 1300 | 0.50 |
| 2024/25 | Beerschot VA | Jupiler Pro League | LB | 3 | 200 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1318 | 1144 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | LB | 30 | 2503 | 82% | 1 | 6 | 0.25 | 0.19 | 1345 | 1327 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | LB | 8 | 582 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1372 | 1392 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | LB | 12 | 964 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1324 | 1358 | 0.60 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 2 | 33 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 240 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Utrecht | 2 | 92 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyriakos Mazoulouxis Super League 1 · 2022 | 25 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Danylo Knysh Premier Liga · 2022 | 26 | €250k | €175k | fell |
| Bogdan Porokh Premier Liga · 2023 | 23 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Ruben Roosken Eredivisie · 2024 | 24 | €450k | €700k | rose |
| Ivan Milicevic Super League 1 · 2024 | 26 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Tercious Malepe Premier Liga · 2021 | 24 | €300k | €450k | rose |
| Odysseas Lymperakis Super League 1 · 2021 | 23 | €250k | €175k | fell |
| Taras Sakiv Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €400k | €350k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2025 | Sparta R. | Heracles Almelo | Unknown | €600k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Beerschot VA | Sparta R. | Free / loan | €600k |
| 3 Feb 2025 | Sparta R. | Beerschot VA | Free / loan | €750k |
| 10 Aug 2023 | Utrecht | Sparta R. | Unknown | €850k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Houston | Utrecht | Free / loan | €850k |
| 9 Feb 2023 | Utrecht | Houston | Free / loan | €850k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Utrecht U21 | Utrecht | Unknown | €650k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Utrecht U19 | Utrecht U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Utrecht U17 | Utrecht U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Utrecht Youth | Utrecht U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Zeeburgia Yth. | Utrecht Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.