Drissa Camara
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Drissa Camara's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-4.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.9M-5.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.35x the positional average in the league (1741 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 80
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 32.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.2M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -14% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1741 (57% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.62
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.54
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 33 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1167
- Opponent strength
- 1246
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.9M – €5.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +67% (IQR +7% to +135%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1741 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Gaziantep FK | Super Lig | AM | 26 | 1741 | 57% | 3 | 9 | 0.62 | 0.54 | 1246 | 1167 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | CM | 21 | 432 | 13% | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.30 | 1462 | 1342 | 0.99 |
| 2020/21 | Parma Calcio 1913 | Serie A | CM | 1 | 13 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 1678 | 1252 | 0.90 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Parma Calcio 1913 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Parma Calcio 1913 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youssouf Ndayishimiye Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €2.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Paxten Aaronson Eredivisie · 2024 | 21 | €4.5M | €6.0M | rose |
| Chiquinho Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €4.5M | €4.0M | flat |
| Fernando Canesin Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 22 | €1.2M | €2.5M | rose |
| Lasso Coulibaly Superliga · 2024 | 22 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Simen Bolkan Nordli Superliga · 2024 | 25 | €1.0M | €2.3M | rose |
| August Erlingmark Super League 1 · 2023 | 25 | €700k | €800k | flat |
| Connor Barron Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 22 | €1.0M | €2.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Parma | Gaziantep FK | €400k | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Parma U19 | Parma | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Parma U17 | Parma U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Parma FC Youth | Parma U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.