Taha Şahin
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Taha Şahin's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-3.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-4.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 73
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 17.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.8M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -23% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1787 (58% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1229
- Opponent strength
- 1293
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.5M – €4.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 34 pts; relative output down 55% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -50% to -11%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1787 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 50 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–191%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 54%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Caykur Rizespor | Super Lig | RB | 27 | 1787 | 58% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 1293 | 1229 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Caykur Rizespor | Super Lig | RB | 35 | 2999 | 93% | 0 | 9 | 0.27 | 0.21 | 1286 | 1228 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Caykur Rizespor | Super Lig | RB | 35 | 2945 | 86% | 0 | 4 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 1300 | 1219 | 0.45 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Furkan Bayır Super Lig · 2024 | 24 | €2.3M | €1.0M | fell |
| Merveille Bokadi Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 26 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Sigurd Rosted Superliga · 2020 | 26 | €1.2M | €1.3M | flat |
| Jure Balkovec Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €2.3M | €1.2M | fell |
| Nazım Sangaré Super Lig · 2020 | 26 | €1.6M | €1.7M | flat |
| John Souttar Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 23 | €1.3M | €800k | fell |
| Bruno Onyemaechi Liga Portugal · 2024 | 25 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Sam Adekugbe Super Lig · 2023 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2023 | Manisa FK | C. Rizespor | Unknown | €425k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | 68 Aksaray Bld | Manisa FK | Free / loan | €25k |
| 21 Jan 2021 | Manisa FK | 68 Aksaray Bld | Free / loan | €25k |
| 20 Jan 2021 | 68 Aksaray Bld | Manisa FK | €28k | €25k |
| 5 Aug 2019 | Kasimpasa U21 | 68 Aksaray Bld | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Kasimpasa U19 | Kasimpasa U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Kasimpasa Yth | Kasimpasa U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 12 Sept 2013 | Fenerbahce Yth. | Kasimpasa Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.