Griffin Yow
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Griffin Yow's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-2.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-3.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.29x the positional average in the league (658 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 18.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €1.8M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -25% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 658 (24% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.41
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.51
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 19 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1348
- Opponent strength
- 1364
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €735k – €3.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 33 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -72% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 658 league minutes last season.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 78 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–126%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 16 | 658 | 24% | 3 | 0 | 0.41 | 0.51 | 1364 | 1348 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 24 | 1537 | 57% | 4 | 3 | 0.41 | 0.51 | 1368 | 1322 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 20 | 1513 | 56% | 6 | 4 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 1399 | 1293 | 0.63 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heri Tavares Liga Portugal · 2021 | 24 | €1.2M | €600k | fell |
| Sergio Araujo Super League 1 · 2017 | 25 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Nicolas Benezet Ligue 1 · 2015 | 24 | €1.5M | €2.0M | rose |
| Didier Lamkel Zé Ligue 1 · 2022 | 26 | €3.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Erkan Kas Super Lig · 2015 | 24 | €2.0M | €500k | fell |
| Aleksandar Pesic Ligue 1 · 2016 | 24 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Sami Liga Portugal · 2015 | 27 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Ömer Sismanoglu Super Lig · 2016 | 27 | €2.6M | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2026 | KVC Westerlo | New England | €550k | €2.5M |
| 4 Jul 2022 | D.C. United | KVC Westerlo | €91k | €500k |
| 30 Nov 2019 | Loudoun United | D.C. United | Free / loan | €150k |
| 17 Mar 2019 | D.C. United | Loudoun United | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 16 Mar 2019 | D.C. United Ac. | D.C. United | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.