
Bruno Langa
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bruno Langa's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.9M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 11.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €604k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -32% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 895 (29% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 11 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1195
- Opponent strength
- 1358
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €380k – €865k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -38% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 895 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 66 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 57%–168%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | CF Estrela Amadora | Liga Portugal | LB | 11 | 895 | 29% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1358 | 1195 | 0.58 |
| 2023/24 | GD Chaves | Liga Portugal | LM | 15 | 1076 | 35% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.18 | 1370 | 1187 | 0.58 |
| 2023/24 | UD Almería | Laliga | LB | 11 | 819 | 24% | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 1504 | 1327 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | GD Chaves | Liga Portugal | LB | 29 | 2477 | 81% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1382 | 1337 | 0.68 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Pafos FC | 7 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1623 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Pafos FC | 4 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 1500 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youssouf Koné Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 29 | €800k | €800k | flat |
| José San Román Eredivisie · 2017 | 29 | €750k | €600k | fell |
| Nino Galović Liga Portugal · 2022 | 30 | €850k | €500k | fell |
| Florian Le Joncour Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 29 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Nemanja Rnic Premier Liga · 2013 | 29 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Jonas Ivens Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 29 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Gustav Svensson Premier Liga · 2014 | 27 | €700k | €800k | flat |
| Mateo Barac Premier Liga · 2023 | 29 | €800k | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Estrela Amadora | UD Almería | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Feb 2026 | UD Almería | Estrela Amadora | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Pafos | UD Almería | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 4 Jul 2025 | UD Almería | Pafos | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Chaves | UD Almería | €1.2M | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | UD Almería | Chaves | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Feb 2024 | Chaves | UD Almería | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Amora FC | Chaves | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Black Bulls | Amora FC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2020 | Vitória FC U23 | Black Bulls | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Black Bulls | Vitória FC U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Amora FC | Black Bulls | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Black Bulls | Amora FC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Maxaquene | Black Bulls | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.