Bruno Langa

28 yrs · Left-back (also LM) · Mozambique
CF Estrela Amadora · Liga Portugal · Foot: left · Height: 178 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€1.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€282k – €921k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€286k – €691k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€380k – €865k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€635k – €409k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€282k – €921k
Model value (performance-implied)€286k – €691k
Projected value (24 months)€380k – €865k
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Bruno Langa's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-0.9M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average11.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable28.7 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €604k vs market €1.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-32% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.58
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
895 (29% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.12
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
11 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.58 (rank 9)
Team strength (Elo)
1195
Opponent strength
1358
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€380k – €865k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -24% (IQR -38% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 895 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
66 (DEF)
Relative output kept
57%–168%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
76%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26CF Estrela AmadoraLiga PortugalLB1189529%000.000.12135811950.58
2023/24GD ChavesLiga PortugalLM15107635%100.080.18137011870.58
2023/24UD AlmeríaLaligaLB1181924%100.110.19150413271.00
2022/23GD ChavesLiga PortugalLB29247781%000.000.05138213370.68

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeaguePafos FC7102001623
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingPafos FC451001500

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Youssouf Koné
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
29€800k€800kflat
José San Román
Eredivisie · 2017
29€750k€600kfell
Nino Galović
Liga Portugal · 2022
30€850k€500kfell
Florian Le Joncour
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
29€600k€600kflat
Nemanja Rnic
Premier Liga · 2013
29€700k€500kfell
Jonas Ivens
Jupiler Pro League · 2013
29€1.0M€500kfell
Gustav Svensson
Premier Liga · 2014
27€700k€800kflat
Mateo Barac
Premier Liga · 2023
29€800k€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026Estrela AmadoraUD AlmeríaFree / loan€1.0M
1 Feb 2026UD AlmeríaEstrela AmadoraFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jan 2026PafosUD AlmeríaFree / loan€1.0M
4 Jul 2025UD AlmeríaPafosFree / loan€1.2M
1 Jul 2024ChavesUD Almería€1.2M€1.5M
30 Jun 2024UD AlmeríaChavesFree / loan€1.5M
1 Feb 2024ChavesUD AlmeríaFree / loan€1.5M
1 Jul 2021Amora FCChavesFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2020Black BullsAmora FCUnknownData unavailable
30 Jun 2020Vitória FC U23Black BullsFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2019Black BullsVitória FC U23Free / loanData unavailable
30 Jun 2019Amora FCBlack BullsFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Black BullsAmora FCFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2018MaxaqueneBlack BullsUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Bruno Langa · MoneyballAI