Daniel Wass
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Daniel Wass's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.03x the positional average in the league (840 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 36.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 37.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €129k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -26% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 840 (42% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.32
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.22
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 36 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1336
- Opponent strength
- 1276
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €219k – €407k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 31 pts; league level up (+45 Elo); relative output up 82% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -49% (IQR -65% to -15%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 840 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 23 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | CM | 16 | 840 | 42% | 1 | 2 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 1276 | 1336 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | CM | 21 | 1462 | 74% | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 1296 | 1342 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | CM | 21 | 1730 | 87% | 2 | 5 | 0.36 | 0.30 | 1286 | 1417 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | RB | 17 | 1461 | 74% | 1 | 5 | 0.37 | 0.22 | 1284 | 1329 | 0.47 |
| 2021/22 | Valencia CF | Laliga | CM | 19 | 1592 | 47% | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 1559 | 1487 | 1.05 |
| 2021/22 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | RB | 1 | 45 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1675 | 1677 | 1.05 |
| 2019/20 | Valencia CF | Laliga | RB | 35 | 2732 | 80% | 1 | 6 | 0.23 | 0.18 | 1546 | 1548 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | Valencia CF | Laliga | RB | 32 | 2356 | 69% | 1 | 4 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 1543 | 1653 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | CM | 35 | 2941 | 86% | 4 | 9 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 1554 | 1523 | 1.11 |
| 2016/17 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | CM | 32 | 2394 | 70% | 3 | 4 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 1573 | 1520 | 1.11 |
| 2015/16 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | CM | 36 | 2709 | 79% | 2 | 6 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 1592 | 1569 | 1.17 |
| 2014/15 | Thonon Évian Grand Genève FC | Ligue 1 | AM | 32 | 2470 | 72% | 8 | 4 | 0.44 | 0.48 | 1437 | 1322 | 0.80 |
| 2013/14 | Thonon Évian Grand Genève FC | Ligue 1 | RB | 38 | 3216 | 94% | 9 | 3 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 1488 | 1389 | 0.79 |
| 2012/13 | Thonon Évian Grand Genève FC | Ligue 1 | CM | 34 | 2982 | 87% | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 1468 | 1398 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 6 | 397 | 1 | 0 | 1397 |
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 2 | 141 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 5 | 304 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 3 | 209 | 1 | 1 | 1413 |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 3 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 2 | 192 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Valencia CF | 8 | 720 | 1 | 0 | 1666 |
| 2019/20 | Supercopa | Valencia CF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1749 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 8 | 571 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Valencia CF | 7 | 545 | 1 | 1 | 1581 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Valencia CF | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1714 |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 4 | 140 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Europa League | Celta de Vigo | 14 | 826 | 2 | 1 | 1564 |
| 2016/17 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 8 | 502 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 7 | 468 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henrik Andreasen Superliga · 2015 | 36 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Kasper Risgaard Superliga · 2018 | 35 | €300k | €300k | flat |
| Oleg Ivanov Premier Liga · 2021 | 35 | €500k | €150k | fell |
| Márcio Mossoró Super Lig · 2020 | 37 | €300k | €175k | fell |
| Lior Refaelov Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 37 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Jens Toornstra Eredivisie · 2024 | 35 | €450k | €200k | fell |
| Atiba Hutchinson Super Lig · 2022 | 39 | €275k | €100k | fell |
| Anthony Lurling Eredivisie · 2014 | 37 | €500k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2022 | Atlético | Bröndby IF | €1.8M | €6.0M |
| 27 Jan 2022 | Valencia | Atlético | €2.7M | €6.0M |
| 10 Jul 2018 | Celta de Vigo | Valencia | €6.0M | €15.0M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Évian | Celta de Vigo | €3.0M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Benfica | Évian | €1.2M | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2012 | Évian | Benfica | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 22 Jul 2011 | Benfica | Évian | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Bröndby IF | Benfica | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 31 Dec 2009 | Fredrikstad FK | Bröndby IF | Free / loan | €750k |
| 19 Aug 2009 | Bröndby IF | Fredrikstad FK | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Bröndby IF II | Bröndby IF | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jan 2008 | Bröndby IF U19 | Bröndby IF II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2005 | BK Avarta U19 | Bröndby IF U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.