Pizzi

37 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM, RM, RW) · Portugal
GD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal · Foot: right · Height: 177 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
No index
CompareCheaper alternative
Market value
€300k
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€76k – €343k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€133k – €719k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€195k – €352k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€209k – €643k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€76k – €343k
Model value (performance-implied)€133k – €719k
Projected value (24 months)€195k – €352k
Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Pizzi's performance-implied value at EUR 0.1M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.36x the positional average in the league (647 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceBelow average33th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable36.7 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €189k vs market €300k
Expected appreciationNeutral+8% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.58
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €27.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
647 (21% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.70
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.55
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
33 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.58 (rank 9)
Team strength (Elo)
1305
Opponent strength
1299
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€195k – €352k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -55% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 647 league minutes last season.
  • ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
58 (MID)
Relative output kept
72%–151%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
78%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26GD Estoril PraiaLiga PortugalAM2364721%050.700.55129913050.58
2023/24SC BragaLiga PortugalAM2996031%130.380.26134614990.58
2022/23SC BragaLiga PortugalRW1647616%210.570.33132215570.68
2021/22SL BenficaLiga PortugalAM142699%131.340.36133516560.67
2021/22Basaksehir FKSuper LigAM102567%110.700.37122913720.42
2020/21SL BenficaLiga PortugalAM32185461%640.490.30135616190.61
2019/20SL BenficaLiga PortugalRM34282792%18141.020.42136515830.59
2018/19SL BenficaLiga PortugalCM34279991%13191.030.49135316830.65
2017/18SL BenficaLiga PortugalCM33266487%670.440.23132816050.64
2016/17SL BenficaLiga PortugalCM33284993%1090.600.33134716530.58
2015/16SL BenficaLiga PortugalRW31228375%870.590.27136017120.58
2014/15SL BenficaLiga PortugalAM23129042%270.630.31136817140.68
2013/14RCD Espanyol BarcelonaLaligaAM28146343%310.250.34154414771.19
2012/13Deportivo de La CoruñaLaligaAM35308990%870.440.49150814371.06

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingSC Braga4237201369
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueSC Braga268001545
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueSC Braga249001665
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingSL Benfica3204001502
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica6158001759
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueSL Benfica8388721547
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingSL Benfica190001525
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica6403321617
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueSL Benfica2169211636
2019/20Supercup Candido De OliveiraSL Benfica183211634
2018/19Uefa Champions League QualifyingSL Benfica4336211571
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica6322011667
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueSL Benfica4246011567
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica6482001624
2017/18Supercup Candido De OliveiraSL Benfica190021396
2016/17Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica8720001654
2016/17Supercup Candido De OliveiraSL Benfica190111440
2015/16Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica10533001690
2015/16Supercup Candido De OliveiraSL Benfica132001593
2014/15Uefa Champions LeagueSL Benfica190001660
2013/14Copa Del ReyRCD Espanyol Barcelona639610—
2012/13Copa Del ReyDeportivo de La Coruña17100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Adil Ramzi
Eredivisie · 2013
36€400k€400kflat
Anouar Hadouir
Eredivisie · 2018
36€300k€150kfell
Castro
Liga Portugal · 2024
36€200k€50kfell
Youssouf Mulumbu
Scottish Premiership · 2021
34€325k€325kflat
Martin Jörgensen
Superliga · 2013
38€100k€100kflat
Rudi Skacel
Scottish Premiership · 2013
34€450k€450kflat
Bilal Kisa
Super Lig · 2018
35€150k€50kfell
Don Cowie
Scottish Premiership · 2020
37€150k€150kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026EstorilRetiredUnknown€300k
1 Jul 2025APOEL NicosiaEstorilFree / loan€400k
7 Sept 2024BragaAPOEL NicosiaFree / loan€800k
30 Jan 2023Al-WahdaBragaFree / loan€3.0M
27 Jul 2022BenficaAl-WahdaFree / loan€4.0M
30 Jun 2022BasaksehirBenficaFree / loan€4.0M
8 Feb 2022BenficaBasaksehirFree / loan€8.0M
30 Jun 2014EspanyolBenficaFree / loan€3.0M
28 Jul 2013BenficaEspanyolFree / loan€6.0M
26 Jul 2013AtléticoBenfica€14.0M€6.0M
30 Jun 2013Dep. La CoruñaAtléticoFree / loan€6.0M
12 Jul 2012AtléticoDep. La CoruñaFree / loan€4.5M
1 Jan 2012BragaAtlético€13.5M€7.5M
31 Dec 2011AtléticoBragaFree / loan€7.5M
22 Aug 2011BragaAtléticoFree / loan€4.6M
30 Jun 2011Paços FerreiraBragaFree / loan€4.6M
1 Jan 2010BragaPaços FerreiraFree / loanData unavailable
31 Dec 2009SC CovilhãBragaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2009BragaSC CovilhãFree / loanData unavailable
30 Jun 2009GD RibeirãoBragaFree / loanData unavailable
15 Aug 2008BragaGD RibeirãoFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2008Braga U19BragaUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2007BragançaBraga U19Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2007Bragança U19BragançaUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2006Bragança S17Bragança U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2004Bragança S15Bragança S17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2002Bragança Form.Bragança S15UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2000Mãe d´Água Fr.Bragança Form.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.