Cheikh Niasse
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Cheikh Niasse's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-2.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.97x the positional average in the league (978 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 63
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 38.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.3M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -25% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 978 (29% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.21
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1269
- Opponent strength
- 1510
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €848k – €2.6M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-97 Elo); role change DM -> CM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -62% to +7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 978 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | CM | 20 | 978 | 29% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.21 | 1510 | 1269 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Hellas Verona | Serie A | DM | 11 | 757 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1588 | 1366 | 0.99 |
| 2020/21 | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | Super League 1 | DM | 5 | 345 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1328 | 1362 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | DM | 1 | 14 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1518 | 1516 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Hellas Verona | 2 | 143 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | BSC Young Boys | 5 | 341 | 0 | 1 | 1607 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | BSC Young Boys | 2 | 164 | 0 | 0 | 1593 |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | LOSC Lille | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1510 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Henrique Serie A · 2021 | 26 | €1.7M | €1.0M | fell |
| Abdelhamid Sabiri Serie A · 2023 | 27 | €2.5M | €1.7M | fell |
| Luca Zanimacchia Serie A · 2023 | 25 | €1.8M | €1.8M | flat |
| Saîf-Eddine Khaoui Ligue 1 · 2022 | 27 | €1.5M | €2.0M | rose |
| Nicolas Haas Serie A · 2022 | 26 | €3.0M | €700k | fell |
| Florent Mollet Ligue 1 · 2017 | 26 | €1.3M | €9.0M | rose |
| Ismael Diomande Ligue 1 · 2019 | 27 | €1.3M | €550k | fell |
| Ronaldo Vieira Serie A · 2023 | 25 | €2.0M | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Young Boys | Hellas Verona | €3.5M | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Hellas Verona | Young Boys | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 31 Jan 2025 | Young Boys | Hellas Verona | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 3 Feb 2022 | Lille | Young Boys | €900k | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Panathinaikos | Lille | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Lille | Panathinaikos | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | LOSC Lille B | Lille | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | LOSC Lille U19 | LOSC Lille B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | LOSC Lille U17 | LOSC Lille U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Boulogne Jugend | LOSC Lille U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.