Gary Magnée
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Gary Magnée's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-2.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-2.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 50
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 49.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.7M vs market €2.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2603 (96% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.38
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.28
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 49 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1325
- Opponent strength
- 1377
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €2.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 32 pts; role change LM -> RB; relative output up 141% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -43% to +4%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 30 | 2603 | 96% | 4 | 7 | 0.38 | 0.27 | 1377 | 1325 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | LM | 25 | 1740 | 64% | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 1390 | 1361 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 24 | 1964 | 73% | 2 | 4 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 1384 | 1150 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 31 | 2204 | 72% | 3 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.27 | 1332 | 1171 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 16 | 1121 | 37% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1354 | 1174 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 2 | 71 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 1558 | 1285 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | Cercle Brugge | 4 | 287 | 0 | 0 | 1262 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Cercle Brugge | 2 | 95 | 0 | 0 | 1364 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ânderson Luís Liga Portugal · 2016 | 28 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
| Maximilian Wittek Eredivisie · 2023 | 28 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Rodrigo Soares Liga Portugal · 2019 | 27 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Nejc Skubic Super Lig · 2017 | 28 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Hélder Lopes Liga Portugal · 2015 | 26 | €1.3M | €1.5M | flat |
| Roderick Miranda Liga Portugal · 2017 | 26 | €2.5M | €1.8M | fell |
| Sebastian Holmén Eredivisie · 2020 | 28 | €1.7M | €850k | fell |
| Rúben Fernandes Liga Portugal · 2015 | 29 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2024 | KAS Eupen | Cercle Brugge | €700k | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | KAS Eupen U21 | KAS Eupen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | KRC Genk U21 | KAS Eupen U21 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | KRC Genk U19 | KRC Genk U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | FC Brügge U17 | KRC Genk U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.