Marley Aké

25 yrs · Left winger · France
Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 178 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€2.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.2M – €2.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€456k – €1.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.0M – €3.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.3M – €246k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.2M – €2.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€456k – €1.5M
Projected value (24 months)€1.0M – €3.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Marley Aké's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-3.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.30x the positional average in the league (1233 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 70

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average17.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.5 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.6M vs market €2.5M
Expected appreciationLow-24% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1233 (46% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.44
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.53
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
17 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1228
Opponent strength
1377
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.0M – €3.5M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -23% (IQR -60% to +27%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1233 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
78 (ATT)
Relative output kept
72%–126%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
60%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueLW24123346%510.440.53137712280.65
2023/24Udinese CalcioSerie ALW190%000.000.39134714200.98
2021/22Juventus FCSerie ALW4732%000.000.30149416230.89
2020/21Olympique MarseilleLigue 1LW91384%000.000.27139614550.75
2019/20Olympique MarseilleLigue 1LW9904%000.000.37147115390.82

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play OffsZulte Waregem6514301270
2023/24Italy CupUdinese Calcio212200—
2021/22Italy CupJuventus FC26101—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueOlympique Marseille436001696

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Matheus Babi
Liga Portugal · 2023
26€1.5M€1.5Mflat
Mickaël Biron
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
27€2.5M€700kfell
Valentín Viola
Super Lig · 2015
24€2.5M€650kfell
Aziz Yakubu
Liga Portugal · 2023
25€2.0M€3.0Mrose
Lucas Pérez
Premier Liga · 2013
25€2.5M€3.0Mrose
Nicklas Pedersen
Jupiler Pro League · 2013
26€2.0M€1.2Mfell
Lazar Randjelovic
Premier Liga · 2023
26€2.0M€900kfell
Moussa Marega
Liga Portugal · 2016
25€3.0M€19.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026Yverdon SportZulte WaregemUnknown€2.5M
30 Jun 2026Zulte WaregemYverdon SportFree / loan€2.5M
2 Sept 2025Yverdon SportZulte WaregemFree / loan€1.8M
8 Aug 2024JuventusYverdon SportUnknown€1.6M
30 Jun 2024Yverdon SportJuventusFree / loan€1.6M
18 Jan 2024JuventusYverdon SportFree / loan€1.6M
17 Jan 2024UdineseJuventusFree / loan€1.6M
7 Aug 2023JuventusUdineseFree / loan€1.8M
30 Jun 2023DijonJuventusFree / loan€1.8M
31 Jan 2023JuventusDijonFree / loan€2.5M
1 Feb 2022Juventus U23JuventusUnknown€2.2M
28 Jan 2021MarseilleJuventus U23€9.4M€2.5M
1 Jul 2019Marseille BMarseilleUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018AS Béziers U17Marseille BFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Béziers JugendAS Béziers U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Montpellier ForBéziers JugendFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2012RCO Agde JugendMontpellier ForFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.