
Marley Aké
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Marley Aké's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.2M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-3.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.30x the positional average in the league (1233 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 70
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 17.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.6M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1233 (46% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.44
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.53
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 17 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1228
- Opponent strength
- 1377
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.0M – €3.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -23% (IQR -60% to +27%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1233 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 78 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–126%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 24 | 1233 | 46% | 5 | 1 | 0.44 | 0.53 | 1377 | 1228 | 0.65 |
| 2023/24 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | LW | 1 | 9 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.39 | 1347 | 1420 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Juventus FC | Serie A | LW | 4 | 73 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1494 | 1623 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | LW | 9 | 138 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1396 | 1455 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | Olympique Marseille | Ligue 1 | LW | 9 | 90 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 1471 | 1539 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | Zulte Waregem | 6 | 514 | 3 | 0 | 1270 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 122 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 2 | 61 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Olympique Marseille | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1696 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Babi Liga Portugal · 2023 | 26 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Mickaël Biron Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 27 | €2.5M | €700k | fell |
| Valentín Viola Super Lig · 2015 | 24 | €2.5M | €650k | fell |
| Aziz Yakubu Liga Portugal · 2023 | 25 | €2.0M | €3.0M | rose |
| Lucas Pérez Premier Liga · 2013 | 25 | €2.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Nicklas Pedersen Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 26 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Lazar Randjelovic Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €2.0M | €900k | fell |
| Moussa Marega Liga Portugal · 2016 | 25 | €3.0M | €19.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Yverdon Sport | Zulte Waregem | Unknown | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Zulte Waregem | Yverdon Sport | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 2 Sept 2025 | Yverdon Sport | Zulte Waregem | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 8 Aug 2024 | Juventus | Yverdon Sport | Unknown | €1.6M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Yverdon Sport | Juventus | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 18 Jan 2024 | Juventus | Yverdon Sport | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 17 Jan 2024 | Udinese | Juventus | Free / loan | €1.6M |
| 7 Aug 2023 | Juventus | Udinese | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Dijon | Juventus | Free / loan | €1.8M |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Juventus | Dijon | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Feb 2022 | Juventus U23 | Juventus | Unknown | €2.2M |
| 28 Jan 2021 | Marseille | Juventus U23 | €9.4M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Marseille B | Marseille | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | AS Béziers U17 | Marseille B | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Béziers Jugend | AS Béziers U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Montpellier For | Béziers Jugend | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | RCO Agde Jugend | Montpellier For | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.