Hyun-ju Lee
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Hyun-ju Lee's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-3.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-5.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.28x the positional average in the league (2024 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 57
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 36.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €2.5M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2024 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.45
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.51
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 37 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1310
- Opponent strength
- 1311
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.4M – €5.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -35% to +11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–151%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Arouca | Liga Portugal | AM | 30 | 2024 | 66% | 7 | 3 | 0.44 | 0.51 | 1311 | 1310 | 0.58 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Florentín Premier Liga · 2023 | 24 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Bernard Mensah Super Lig · 2019 | 25 | €2.3M | €3.5M | rose |
| Nuno Valente Liga Portugal · 2016 | 25 | €1.3M | €350k | fell |
| Lukas Marecek Eredivisie · 2013 | 23 | €1.3M | €900k | fell |
| Sulayman Marreh Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 23 | €1.2M | €800k | fell |
| Roman Bezus Premier Liga · 2013 | 23 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Paulinho Liga Portugal · 2018 | 24 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Mike Tresor Eredivisie · 2021 | 22 | €2.8M | €15.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2025 | FC Bayern II | Arouca | €1.5M | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Hannover 96 | FC Bayern II | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | FC Bayern II | Hannover 96 | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Wehen Wiesbaden | FC Bayern II | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 7 Jul 2023 | FC Bayern II | Wehen Wiesbaden | Free / loan | €600k |
| 9 Aug 2022 | Pohang Steelers | FC Bayern II | Unknown | €200k |
| 8 Aug 2022 | FC Bayern II | Pohang Steelers | Free / loan | €200k |
| 14 Jan 2022 | Pohang Steelers | FC Bayern II | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Pohang St. U18 | Pohang Steelers | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Pohang St. U15 | Pohang St. U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2016 | Tree Mers Glory | Pohang St. U15 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2014 | Tree Mers FC | Tree Mers Glory | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.