Rafael Tolói
36 yrs · Centre-back · Italy
São Paulo Futebol Clube · Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Contract: until 31 Dec 2026
No model evaluation for this player. MoneyballAI evaluates players with at least 450 league minutes last season in leagues where match-level player data is available from the current free source (14 European top divisions). Market value and transfer history are still shown below.
Market value
€800k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
—
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
—
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
—
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
—
Model value − acquisition
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Highest recorded: €16.0M
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 11 | 461 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1433 | 1679 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 18 | 963 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1464 | 1709 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 32 | 2791 | 82% | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 1466 | 1556 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 20 | 1441 | 42% | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 1488 | 1566 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 31 | 2542 | 74% | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 1459 | 1673 | 0.90 |
| 2019/20 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 33 | 2605 | 76% | 2 | 7 | 0.31 | 0.18 | 1455 | 1666 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 21 | 1747 | 51% | 1 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.14 | 1415 | 1570 | 0.78 |
| 2017/18 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 31 | 2449 | 72% | 1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 1480 | 1556 | 0.86 |
| 2016/17 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 32 | 2720 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1489 | 1539 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | Atalanta BC | Serie A | CB | 24 | 1890 | 55% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 1501 | 1411 | 0.95 |
| 2013/14 | Associazione Sportiva Roma | Serie A | CB | 5 | 379 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1532 | 1609 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 4 | 211 | 0 | 0 | 1520 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 2 | 162 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 5 | 298 | 0 | 0 | 1467 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 2 | 124 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1609 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 4 | 280 | 0 | 0 | 1573 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 8 | 623 | 0 | 0 | 1717 |
| 2020/21 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 4 | 282 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Atalanta BC | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 | 1728 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Atalanta BC | 5 | 464 | 1 | 2 | 1422 |
| 2018/19 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Atalanta BC | 5 | 448 | 1 | 0 | 1585 |
| 2017/18 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 3 | 270 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2016/17 | Italy Cup | Atalanta BC | 3 | 270 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
No comparables computed for this player.
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2025 | Atalanta | São Paulo | Free / loan | €1.4M |
| 26 Aug 2015 | São Paulo | Atalanta | €3.9M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Roma | São Paulo | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 31 Jan 2014 | São Paulo | Roma | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 6 Jul 2012 | Goiás | São Paulo | €3.0M | €3.0M |
| 1 Jan 2008 | Goiás B | Goiás | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.