Cihan Çanak
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Cihan Çanak's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-3.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.88x the positional average in the league (470 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €933k vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 10% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 470 (15% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.35
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 5 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1178
- Opponent strength
- 1276
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 10%
- Resale range (24m)
- €838k – €3.4M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-129 Elo); relative output up 59% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -22% (IQR -50% to +6%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 470 league minutes last season.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Gençlerbirliği Spor Kulübü | Super Lig | RW | 14 | 431 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.35 | 1276 | 1160 | 0.40 |
| 2025/26 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | LB | 4 | 39 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1189 | 1368 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RW | 23 | 825 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.24 | 1241 | 1307 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 20 | 611 | 23% | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | 0.38 | 1388 | 1334 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Standard Liège | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 29 | 859 | 28% | 1 | 3 | 0.42 | 0.40 | 1292 | 1381 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 4 | 243 | 1 | 0 | 1389 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Trabzonspor | 2 | 91 | 0 | 0 | 1443 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdon Daci Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €825k | €800k | flat |
| Franco Orozco Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €2.5M | €600k | fell |
| Yan Sasse Super Lig · 2020 | 23 | €725k | €450k | fell |
| Alan Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €850k | €350k | fell |
| Richmond Boakye Eredivisie · 2016 | 23 | €1.5M | €4.5M | rose |
| Alan Pulido Super League 1 · 2015 | 24 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Victor Jensen Superliga · 2021 | 21 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Thomas Azevedo Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 23 | €650k | €350k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Genclerbirligi | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Trabzonspor | Genclerbirligi | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Standard Liège | Trabzonspor | €2.0M | €3.5M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | SL16 FC | Standard Liège | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Standard U18 | Standard U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Standard Yth | Standard U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.