
Christopher Trimmel
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Christopher Trimmel's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.85x the positional average in the league (1869 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 59.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 39.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €230k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -28% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1869 (61% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.19
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1392
- Opponent strength
- 1477
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €240k – €591k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -67% to -24%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 39: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | RM | 29 | 1869 | 61% | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 1477 | 1392 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | RM | 26 | 1744 | 57% | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 1523 | 1394 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | RM | 26 | 1651 | 54% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 1523 | 1431 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | RM | 25 | 1809 | 59% | 0 | 6 | 0.30 | 0.22 | 1528 | 1587 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | RM | 25 | 1995 | 65% | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 1509 | 1568 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | RM | 31 | 2579 | 84% | 1 | 10 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 1525 | 1508 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | 1.FC Union Berlin | Bundesliga | RB | 32 | 2864 | 94% | 0 | 11 | 0.35 | 0.27 | 1526 | 1434 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 166 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | 1.FC Union Berlin | 3 | 124 | 0 | 0 | 1711 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 101 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | 1.FC Union Berlin | 9 | 548 | 0 | 0 | 1513 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 210 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 5 | 390 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 161 | 0 | 0 | 1390 |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 2 | 197 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Union Berlin | 3 | 196 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florent Balmont Ligue 1 · 2017 | 37 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Juan Carlos Valerón Laliga · 2013 | 38 | €300k | €100k | fell |
| Nicolas Seube Ligue 1 · 2016 | 37 | €250k | €200k | fell |
| Gareth Barry Premier League · 2018 | 37 | €1.0M | €325k | fell |
| Yannick Cahuzac Ligue 1 · 2021 | 36 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Dani Rodríguez Laliga · 2024 | 36 | €1.0M | €100k | fell |
| Giuseppe Vives Serie A · 2016 | 36 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Christian Groß Bundesliga · 2023 | 34 | €500k | €300k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2014 | Rapid Vienna | Union Berlin | Free / loan | €900k |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Rapid Wien II | Rapid Vienna | Unknown | €75k |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Horitschon | Rapid Wien II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | UFC Mannersdorf | Horitschon | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2003 | Mannersdorf J. | UFC Mannersdorf | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.