Christopher Trimmel

39 yrs · Right-back (also RM) · Austria
1.FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga · Foot: right · Height: 189 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€600k
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€172k – €530k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€277k – €631k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€240k – €591k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€253k – €459k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€172k – €530k
Model value (performance-implied)€277k – €631k
Projected value (24 months)€240k – €591k
Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Christopher Trimmel's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.85x the positional average in the league (1869 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAbove average59.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable39.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €230k vs market €600k
Expected appreciationVery low-28% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.2M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1869 (61% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.14
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.19
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
60 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1392
Opponent strength
1477
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€240k – €591k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -67% to -24%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲Age 39: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/261.FC Union BerlinBundesligaRM29186961%030.140.19147713920.94
2024/251.FC Union BerlinBundesligaRM26174457%030.150.19152313940.94
2023/241.FC Union BerlinBundesligaRM26165154%020.110.11152314311.01
2022/231.FC Union BerlinBundesligaRM25180959%060.300.22152815871.04
2021/221.FC Union BerlinBundesligaRM25199565%200.090.16150915681.05
2020/211.FC Union BerlinBundesligaRM31257984%1100.380.36152515081.06
2019/201.FC Union BerlinBundesligaRB32286494%0110.350.27152614341.06

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin216601—
2024/25Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin12500—
2023/24Uefa Champions League1.FC Union Berlin3124001711
2023/24Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin210100—
2022/23Uefa Europa League1.FC Union Berlin9548001513
2022/23Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin221001—
2021/22Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin539001—
2021/22Uefa Conference League Qualifying1.FC Union Berlin2161001390
2020/21Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin219700—
2019/20Dfb Pokal1.FC Union Berlin319601—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Florent Balmont
Ligue 1 · 2017
37€250k€250kflat
Juan Carlos Valerón
Laliga · 2013
38€300k€100kfell
Nicolas Seube
Ligue 1 · 2016
37€250k€200kfell
Gareth Barry
Premier League · 2018
37€1.0M€325kfell
Yannick Cahuzac
Ligue 1 · 2021
36€400k€300kfell
Dani Rodríguez
Laliga · 2024
36€1.0M€100kfell
Giuseppe Vives
Serie A · 2016
36€500k€300kfell
Christian Groß
Bundesliga · 2023
34€500k€300kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2014Rapid ViennaUnion BerlinFree / loan€900k
1 Jul 2009Rapid Wien IIRapid ViennaUnknown€75k
1 Jul 2008HoritschonRapid Wien IIFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2006UFC MannersdorfHoritschonUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2003Mannersdorf J.UFC MannersdorfUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Christopher Trimmel · MoneyballAI