Franco Vázquez

37 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM, SS) · Argentina
Club Atlético Belgrano · Torneo Apertura · Foot: left · Height: 187 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 31 Dec 2027
Market value
€600k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€260k – €594k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€197k – €773k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€281k – €662k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€397k – €513k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€260k – €594k
Model value (performance-implied)€197k – €773k
Projected value (24 months)€281k – €662k
Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Franco Vázquez's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.69x the positional average in the league (516 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Around 18 months left: some discount usually possible.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAverage45th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable37.4 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €316k vs market €600k
Expected appreciationLow-24% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €18.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
516 (15% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.52
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.68
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
45 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 17)
Team strength (Elo)
1299
Opponent strength
1467
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€281k – €662k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -61% to -40%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 516 league minutes last season.
  • ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26US CremoneseSerie AAM1551615%120.520.68146712990.93
2020/21Sevilla FCLaligaAM151534%100.590.34151916801.10
2019/20Sevilla FCLaligaCM31108432%300.250.20152816741.16
2018/19Sevilla FCLaligaCM34228767%350.310.27155015771.14
2017/18Sevilla FCLaligaAM30184654%460.490.45158315751.11
2016/17Sevilla FCLaligaAM30209261%720.390.29153716241.11
2015/16Palermo FCSerie ASS36318593%850.370.52148413910.95
2014/15Palermo FCSerie ASS37322294%10110.590.62147414260.93
2012/13Rayo VallecanoLaligaAM1874222%300.360.38145514711.06

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Italy CupUS Cremonese13100—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueSevilla FC488001668
2020/21Copa Del ReySevilla FC27700—
2020/21Uefa Super CupSevilla FC126001945
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueSevilla FC10372211422
2019/20Copa Del ReySevilla FC19010—
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueSevilla FC9617221440
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingSevilla FC3259101363
2018/19Copa Del ReySevilla FC525001—
2018/19SupercopaSevilla FC190001851
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueSevilla FC7495011742
2017/18Copa Del ReySevilla FC745911—
2016/17Uefa Champions LeagueSevilla FC5335011609
2016/17SupercopaSevilla FC2123001882
2016/17Uefa Super CupSevilla FC1120101903
2015/16Italy CupPalermo FC211200—
2014/15Italy CupPalermo FC19000—
2012/13Copa Del ReyRayo Vallecano19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Emil Hallfredsson
Serie A · 2019
35€500k€350kfell
Frédéric Sammaritano
Ligue 1 · 2020
34€325k€200kfell
Mirko Valdifiori
Serie A · 2019
33€500k€300kfell
Oliver Fink
Bundesliga · 2020
38€250k€100kfell
Emanuele Giaccherini
Serie A · 2018
33€1.0M€325kfell
Guy N'Gosso
Ligue 1 · 2018
33€250k€150kfell
Paolo Sammarco
Serie A · 2019
36€200k€75kfell
Sulley Muntari
Serie A · 2017
33€500k€200kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
26 Jan 2026CremoneseBelgranoFree / loan€750k
17 Jul 2023ParmaCremoneseFree / loan€2.0M
1 Jul 2021Sevilla FCParmaFree / loan€4.0M
16 Jul 2016US PalermoSevilla FC€16.8M€15.0M
30 Jun 2013Rayo VallecanoUS PalermoFree / loan€2.0M
27 Aug 2012US PalermoRayo VallecanoFree / loan€3.0M
3 Jan 2012BelgranoUS Palermo€4.5M€2.4M
1 Jan 2007Belgrano U20BelgranoUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Franco Vázquez · MoneyballAI