
Franco Vázquez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Franco Vázquez's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.69x the positional average in the league (516 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Around 18 months left: some discount usually possible.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 45th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 37.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €316k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 516 (15% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.52
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.68
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 45 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 17)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1299
- Opponent strength
- 1467
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €281k – €662k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -51% (IQR -61% to -40%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 516 league minutes last season.
- ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Cremonese | Serie A | AM | 15 | 516 | 15% | 1 | 2 | 0.52 | 0.68 | 1467 | 1299 | 0.93 |
| 2020/21 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | AM | 15 | 153 | 4% | 1 | 0 | 0.59 | 0.34 | 1519 | 1680 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CM | 31 | 1084 | 32% | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 1528 | 1674 | 1.16 |
| 2018/19 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CM | 34 | 2287 | 67% | 3 | 5 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 1550 | 1577 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | AM | 30 | 1846 | 54% | 4 | 6 | 0.49 | 0.45 | 1583 | 1575 | 1.11 |
| 2016/17 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | AM | 30 | 2092 | 61% | 7 | 2 | 0.39 | 0.29 | 1537 | 1624 | 1.11 |
| 2015/16 | Palermo FC | Serie A | SS | 36 | 3185 | 93% | 8 | 5 | 0.37 | 0.52 | 1484 | 1391 | 0.95 |
| 2014/15 | Palermo FC | Serie A | SS | 37 | 3222 | 94% | 10 | 11 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 1474 | 1426 | 0.93 |
| 2012/13 | Rayo Vallecano | Laliga | AM | 18 | 742 | 22% | 3 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 1455 | 1471 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | US Cremonese | 1 | 31 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 4 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1668 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 77 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Super Cup | Sevilla FC | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1945 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Sevilla FC | 10 | 372 | 2 | 1 | 1422 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Sevilla FC | 9 | 617 | 2 | 2 | 1440 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Sevilla FC | 3 | 259 | 1 | 0 | 1363 |
| 2018/19 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 5 | 250 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Supercopa | Sevilla FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1851 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 7 | 495 | 0 | 1 | 1742 |
| 2017/18 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 7 | 459 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 5 | 335 | 0 | 1 | 1609 |
| 2016/17 | Supercopa | Sevilla FC | 2 | 123 | 0 | 0 | 1882 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Super Cup | Sevilla FC | 1 | 120 | 1 | 0 | 1903 |
| 2015/16 | Italy Cup | Palermo FC | 2 | 112 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2014/15 | Italy Cup | Palermo FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Copa Del Rey | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Hallfredsson Serie A · 2019 | 35 | €500k | €350k | fell |
| Frédéric Sammaritano Ligue 1 · 2020 | 34 | €325k | €200k | fell |
| Mirko Valdifiori Serie A · 2019 | 33 | €500k | €300k | fell |
| Oliver Fink Bundesliga · 2020 | 38 | €250k | €100k | fell |
| Emanuele Giaccherini Serie A · 2018 | 33 | €1.0M | €325k | fell |
| Guy N'Gosso Ligue 1 · 2018 | 33 | €250k | €150k | fell |
| Paolo Sammarco Serie A · 2019 | 36 | €200k | €75k | fell |
| Sulley Muntari Serie A · 2017 | 33 | €500k | €200k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2026 | Cremonese | Belgrano | Free / loan | €750k |
| 17 Jul 2023 | Parma | Cremonese | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Sevilla FC | Parma | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 16 Jul 2016 | US Palermo | Sevilla FC | €16.8M | €15.0M |
| 30 Jun 2013 | Rayo Vallecano | US Palermo | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 27 Aug 2012 | US Palermo | Rayo Vallecano | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 3 Jan 2012 | Belgrano | US Palermo | €4.5M | €2.4M |
| 1 Jan 2007 | Belgrano U20 | Belgrano | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.