Tjaronn Chery

38 yrs · Attacking midfielder · Suriname
NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie · Foot: left · Height: 171 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€400k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€102k – €378k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€313k – €607k
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€155k – €397k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€65k – €504k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€102k – €378k
Model value (performance-implied)€313k – €607k
Projected value (24 months)€155k – €397k
Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Tjaronn Chery's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (2759 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAbove average68.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable38.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €212k vs market €400k
Expected appreciationLow-22% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2759 (90% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.52
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.40
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
68 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1362
Opponent strength
1298
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€155k – €397k

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-80 Elo); league level down (-91 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -53% (IQR -71% to -14%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (MID)
Relative output kept
76%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26NEC NijmegenEredivisieAM33275990%1060.520.40129813620.43
2024/25Royal Antwerp FCJupiler Pro LeagueAM29238188%1160.640.49136714420.63
2023/24NEC NijmegenEredivisieAM14103734%520.610.44131913360.48
2018/19KayserisporSuper LigAM33285093%940.410.48139012700.58
2014/15FC GroningenEredivisieAM34301999%1560.630.52134313280.52
2013/14FC GroningenEredivisieAM31271189%760.430.47135013650.59
2012/13ADO Den HaagEredivisieAM32278691%880.520.49135812980.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Knvb BekerNEC Nijmegen422201—
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingMaccabi Haifa7557131473
2023/24Knvb BekerNEC Nijmegen328712—
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueMaccabi Haifa4267101509
2014/15Knvb BekerFC Groningen654026—
2014/15Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Groningen2180001350
2013/14Knvb BekerFC Groningen327000—
2012/13Knvb BekerADO Den Haag214900—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Nicolai Stokholm
Superliga · 2013
37€250k€250kflat
Lucas Biglia
Super Lig · 2022
36€700k€250kfell
Keith Lasley
Scottish Premiership · 2014
35€650k€400kfell
Timmy Simons
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
38€500k€500kflat
Atiba Hutchinson
Super Lig · 2021
38€600k€100kfell
Anthony Lurling
Eredivisie · 2013
36€500k€100kfell
Jakob Poulsen
Superliga · 2019
36€400k€325kflat
Marvin Bartley
Scottish Premiership · 2021
35€300k€100kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025Royal AntwerpNEC Nijmegen€500k€500k
1 Jul 2024Maccabi HaifaRoyal AntwerpFree / loan€350k
30 Jun 2024NEC NijmegenMaccabi HaifaFree / loan€350k
25 Jan 2024Maccabi HaifaNEC NijmegenFree / loan€400k
8 Aug 2019GZ HengfengMaccabi HaifaFree / loan€2.0M
30 Jun 2019KayserisporGZ HengfengFree / loan€2.0M
28 Jul 2018GZ HengfengKayserisporFree / loan€1.5M
13 Jan 2017QPRGZ H. Zhicheng€2.6M€4.5M
20 Jul 2015FC GroningenQPR€2.3M€4.0M
1 Jul 2014ADO Den HaagFC Groningen€800k€1.5M
30 Jun 2014FC GroningenADO Den HaagFree / loan€1.5M
23 Jul 2013ADO Den HaagFC GroningenFree / loan€1.5M
1 Jul 2011FC EmmenADO Den Haag€175k€400k
5 Jul 2010FC Twente U21FC EmmenFree / loan€200k
30 Jun 2010RBC RoosendaalFC Twente U21Free / loan€200k
29 Jul 2009FC Twente U21RBC RoosendaalFree / loan€200k
30 Jun 2009Cambuur L.FC Twente U21Free / loan€200k
2 Jan 2009FC Twente U21Cambuur L.Free / loan€50k
1 Jul 2007FC Twente U19FC Twente U21UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.