
Tjaronn Chery
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tjaronn Chery's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (2759 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Above average | 68.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 38.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €212k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2759 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.52
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.40
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 68 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1362
- Opponent strength
- 1298
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €155k – €397k
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-80 Elo); league level down (-91 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -53% (IQR -71% to -14%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 38: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | AM | 33 | 2759 | 90% | 10 | 6 | 0.52 | 0.40 | 1298 | 1362 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 29 | 2381 | 88% | 11 | 6 | 0.64 | 0.49 | 1367 | 1442 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | AM | 14 | 1037 | 34% | 5 | 2 | 0.61 | 0.44 | 1319 | 1336 | 0.48 |
| 2018/19 | Kayserispor | Super Lig | AM | 33 | 2850 | 93% | 9 | 4 | 0.41 | 0.48 | 1390 | 1270 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | AM | 34 | 3019 | 99% | 15 | 6 | 0.63 | 0.52 | 1343 | 1328 | 0.52 |
| 2013/14 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | AM | 31 | 2711 | 89% | 7 | 6 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 1350 | 1365 | 0.59 |
| 2012/13 | ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie | AM | 32 | 2786 | 91% | 8 | 8 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 1358 | 1298 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 222 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Maccabi Haifa | 7 | 557 | 1 | 3 | 1473 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 287 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Maccabi Haifa | 4 | 267 | 1 | 0 | 1509 |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 6 | 540 | 2 | 6 | — |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Groningen | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1350 |
| 2013/14 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Knvb Beker | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 149 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Stokholm Superliga · 2013 | 37 | €250k | €250k | flat |
| Lucas Biglia Super Lig · 2022 | 36 | €700k | €250k | fell |
| Keith Lasley Scottish Premiership · 2014 | 35 | €650k | €400k | fell |
| Timmy Simons Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 38 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Atiba Hutchinson Super Lig · 2021 | 38 | €600k | €100k | fell |
| Anthony Lurling Eredivisie · 2013 | 36 | €500k | €100k | fell |
| Jakob Poulsen Superliga · 2019 | 36 | €400k | €325k | flat |
| Marvin Bartley Scottish Premiership · 2021 | 35 | €300k | €100k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Royal Antwerp | NEC Nijmegen | €500k | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Maccabi Haifa | Royal Antwerp | Free / loan | €350k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | NEC Nijmegen | Maccabi Haifa | Free / loan | €350k |
| 25 Jan 2024 | Maccabi Haifa | NEC Nijmegen | Free / loan | €400k |
| 8 Aug 2019 | GZ Hengfeng | Maccabi Haifa | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2019 | Kayserispor | GZ Hengfeng | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 28 Jul 2018 | GZ Hengfeng | Kayserispor | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 13 Jan 2017 | QPR | GZ H. Zhicheng | €2.6M | €4.5M |
| 20 Jul 2015 | FC Groningen | QPR | €2.3M | €4.0M |
| 1 Jul 2014 | ADO Den Haag | FC Groningen | €800k | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2014 | FC Groningen | ADO Den Haag | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 23 Jul 2013 | ADO Den Haag | FC Groningen | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | FC Emmen | ADO Den Haag | €175k | €400k |
| 5 Jul 2010 | FC Twente U21 | FC Emmen | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2010 | RBC Roosendaal | FC Twente U21 | Free / loan | €200k |
| 29 Jul 2009 | FC Twente U21 | RBC Roosendaal | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2009 | Cambuur L. | FC Twente U21 | Free / loan | €200k |
| 2 Jan 2009 | FC Twente U21 | Cambuur L. | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2007 | FC Twente U19 | FC Twente U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.