Salomón Rondón

37 yrs · Striker · Venezuela
CF Pachuca · Liga Mx Clausura · Foot: right · Height: 186 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 31 Dec 2027
Market value
€350k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€171k – €435k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€276k – €2.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€238k – €371k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€159k – €1.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€171k – €435k
Model value (performance-implied)€276k – €2.0M
Projected value (24 months)€238k – €371k
Dashed line: current market value (€350k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Salomón Rondón's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-2.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (1038 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Around 18 months left: some discount usually possible.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAbove average60.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable36.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €207k vs market €350k
Expected appreciationNeutral+8% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €17.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1038 (30% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.17
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.50
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
61 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 8)
Team strength (Elo)
1294
Opponent strength
1514
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€238k – €371k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -55% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 37: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1038 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Real OviedoLaligaST16103830%200.170.50151412940.95
2022/23Everton FCPremier LeagueST71043%000.000.48146814751.23
2021/22Everton FCPremier LeagueST2078323%110.230.41153714741.17
2020/21PFK CSKA MoskvaPremier LigaST1074328%420.730.52131513830.55
2018/19Newcastle UnitedPremier LeagueST32260876%1170.620.65154215321.22
2017/18West Bromwich AlbionPremier LeagueST36277381%730.320.50155414261.15
2016/17West Bromwich AlbionPremier LeagueST38289685%820.310.40153614451.07
2015/16West Bromwich AlbionPremier LeagueST34256775%930.420.52153514471.08
2015/16AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaST180%000.000.43155916290.79
2014/15AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaST26151656%1330.950.52144316630.88
2013/14FC Rubin KazanPremier LigaST1185332%610.740.50146215340.92
2013/14AO FK Zenit Sankt-PeterburgPremier LigaST1075228%731.200.59147116500.92
2012/13FC Rubin KazanPremier LigaST25185969%710.390.39140315520.88

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2021/22Fa CupEverton FC220720—
2020/21Russian CupPFK CSKA Moskva313600—
2017/18Fa CupWest Bromwich Albion218020—
2016/17Fa CupWest Bromwich Albion19000—
2015/16Fa CupWest Bromwich Albion541411—
2015/16Russian Super CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg156001513
2014/15Uefa Europa LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg6519301610
2014/15Uefa Champions LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg6432101637
2014/15Uefa Champions League QualifyingAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg4255211432
2014/15Russian CupAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg214410—
2013/14Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Rubin Kazan5424401344
2013/14Uefa Europa LeagueFC Rubin Kazan3165201401
2013/14Uefa Champions LeagueAO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg2118111726
2012/13Uefa Europa LeagueFC Rubin Kazan12947511484

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jérémy Blayac
Ligue 1 · 2018
35€250k€250kflat
Sergio Floccari
Serie A · 2019
38€300k€100kfell
José Callejón
Laliga · 2024
37€800k€800kflat
Yoann Touzghar
Ligue 1 · 2022
36€600k€300kfell
Goran Pandev
Serie A · 2017
34€400k€400kflat
Grégory Pujol
Ligue 1 · 2016
36€250k€250kflat
Gerald Asamoah
Bundesliga · 2013
35€400k€100kfell
Erjon Bogdani
Serie A · 2013
36€200k€200kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
31 Dec 2025Real OviedoPachucaFree / loan€400k
3 Jul 2025PachucaReal OviedoFree / loan€750k
1 Jan 2024River PlatePachucaFree / loan€1.0M
30 Jan 2023EvertonRiver PlateFree / loan€2.0M
31 Aug 2021DL ProEvertonFree / loan€5.0M
30 Jun 2021CSKA MoscowDL ProFree / loan€6.0M
15 Feb 2021DL ProCSKA MoscowFree / loan€6.5M
19 Jul 2019West BromDL Pro€18.3M€15.0M
31 May 2019NewcastleWest BromFree / loan€15.0M
6 Aug 2018West BromNewcastleFree / loan€13.0M
10 Aug 2015Zenit S-PbWest Brom€17.0M€15.0M
31 Jan 2014Rubin KazanZenit S-Pb€18.0M€11.0M
5 Aug 2012Málaga CFRubin Kazan€9.0M€9.0M
19 Jul 2010UD Las PalmasMálaga CF€3.5M€1.0M
21 Jul 2008Aragua FCUD Las PalmasFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2007Aragua FC U20Aragua FCUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.