Janis Blaswich

35 yrs · Goalkeeper · Germany
Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga · Foot: right · Height: 193 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€700k
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€244k – €760k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€725k – €1.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€249k – €612k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€35k – €1.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€244k – €760k
Model value (performance-implied)€725k – €1.7M
Projected value (24 months)€249k – €612k
Dashed line: current market value (€700k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Janis Blaswich's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.2M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Age above 33 (outside validated pool)

PerformanceAbove average72.2th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable35.2 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €325k vs market €700k
Expected appreciationLow-25% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.94
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
930 (30% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
72 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.94 (rank 3)
Team strength (Elo)
1626
Opponent strength
1468
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€249k – €612k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -56% to -15%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 930 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesligaGK1193030%000.000.00146816260.94
2023/24RB LeipzigBundesligaGK21189062%000.000.00152116921.01
2022/23RB LeipzigBundesligaGK26234076%000.000.00152616851.04
2021/22Heracles AlmeloEredivisieGK22198065%000.000.00134812500.60
2020/21Heracles AlmeloEredivisieGK26232776%000.000.00134713030.56
2019/20Heracles AlmeloEredivisieGK262340100%010.040.01136213300.62
2018/19Heracles AlmeloEredivisieGK33292596%000.000.00134313020.61

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueBayer 04 Leverkusen6540001657
2025/26Dfb PokalBayer 04 Leverkusen19000—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueFußballclub Red Bull Salzburg5381001611
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingFußballclub Red Bull Salzburg4360001479
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueRB Leipzig5450011685
2023/24Franz Beckenbauer SupercupRB Leipzig190001817
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueRB Leipzig6527001724
2022/23Dfb PokalRB Leipzig545000—
2020/21Knvb BekerHeracles Almelo19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Mariano Barbosa
Laliga · 2018
34€800k€300kfell
Alexander Meyer
Bundesliga · 2024
33€800k€500kfell
Ciprian Tatarusanu
Serie A · 2023
37€400k€400kflat
Antonio Mirante
Serie A · 2020
37€650k€300kfell
Pavao Pervan
Bundesliga · 2020
33€650k€600kflat
Marco Storari
Serie A · 2013
36€600k€500kflat
Orestis Karnezis
Serie A · 2019
34€1.5M€500kfell
Sven Ulreich
Bundesliga · 2024
36€700k€500kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
11 Aug 2025LeipzigLeverkusen€2.0M€700k
30 Jun 2025SalzburgLeipzigFree / loan€700k
1 Jul 2024LeipzigSalzburgFree / loan€2.0M
1 Jul 2022Heracles AlmeloLeipzigFree / loan€800k
1 Jul 2018MönchengladbachHeracles AlmeloFree / loan€500k
30 Jun 2018Hansa RostockMönchengladbachFree / loan€500k
20 Jul 2017MönchengladbachHansa RostockFree / loan€300k
30 Jun 2016Dynamo DresdenMönchengladbachFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2015MönchengladbachDynamo DresdenFree / loan€225k
1 Jul 2011M'gladbach IIMönchengladbachUnknown€100k
1 Jul 2009M'gladbach U19M'gladbach IIUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2008M'gladbach U17M'gladbach U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2006Mehrhoog Jgd.M'gladbach U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.