Bryan Linssen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bryan Linssen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.3M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.1M-0.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.12x the positional average in the league (2252 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | Average | 44.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 35.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €191k vs market €300k |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2252 (74% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.76
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.57
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 45 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1362
- Opponent strength
- 1317
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €131k – €278k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 47 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -58% (IQR -75% to -37%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Age 36: resale value typically declines.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 73%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 61%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | ST | 32 | 2252 | 74% | 11 | 8 | 0.76 | 0.57 | 1317 | 1362 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | ST | 15 | 810 | 26% | 4 | 0 | 0.44 | 0.58 | 1339 | 1320 | 0.50 |
| 2021/22 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | ST | 34 | 2169 | 71% | 13 | 8 | 0.87 | 0.50 | 1320 | 1609 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | ST | 29 | 2048 | 67% | 8 | 4 | 0.53 | 0.36 | 1359 | 1457 | 0.56 |
| 2019/20 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | LW | 25 | 2128 | 91% | 14 | 6 | 0.85 | 0.57 | 1336 | 1393 | 0.62 |
| 2018/19 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | LW | 30 | 2411 | 79% | 12 | 3 | 0.56 | 0.42 | 1338 | 1413 | 0.61 |
| 2017/18 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | LW | 33 | 2780 | 91% | 15 | 6 | 0.68 | 0.57 | 1324 | 1364 | 0.59 |
| 2016/17 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | LW | 28 | 1920 | 63% | 10 | 1 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 1358 | 1345 | 0.54 |
| 2015/16 | FC Groningen | Eredivisie | RW | 28 | 1704 | 56% | 3 | 4 | 0.37 | 0.44 | 1344 | 1337 | 0.58 |
| 2014/15 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | RW | 33 | 2716 | 89% | 10 | 8 | 0.60 | 0.66 | 1356 | 1263 | 0.52 |
| 2013/14 | Heracles Almelo | Eredivisie | LW | 31 | 2701 | 88% | 11 | 0 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 1341 | 1278 | 0.59 |
| 2012/13 | VVV-Venlo | Eredivisie | ST | 34 | 2636 | 86% | 8 | 3 | 0.38 | 0.53 | 1360 | 1180 | 0.54 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 265 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 6 | 525 | 1 | 2 | 1361 |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 6 | 454 | 0 | 1 | 1494 |
| 2020/21 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 124 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 3 | 228 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Vitesse Arnhem | 4 | 360 | 1 | 0 | 1472 |
| 2018/19 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | Vitesse Arnhem | 5 | 445 | 2 | 0 | 1511 |
| 2017/18 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 95 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2017/18 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Vitesse Arnhem | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1536 |
| 2016/17 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | FC Groningen | 6 | 485 | 0 | 0 | 1488 |
| 2015/16 | Knvb Beker | FC Groningen | 2 | 120 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2015/16 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | FC Groningen | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1545 |
| 2014/15 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 3 | 169 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2013/14 | Knvb Beker | Heracles Almelo | 3 | 262 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2012/13 | Knvb Beker | VVV-Venlo | 1 | 75 | 2 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elimane Coulibaly Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 34 | €400k | €100k | fell |
| Pierre Webó Super Lig · 2017 | 35 | €500k | €100k | fell |
| Bruno Gama Super League 1 · 2020 | 33 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Daniel Larsson Super League 1 · 2020 | 33 | €300k | €175k | fell |
| Georgios Manousos Super League 1 · 2020 | 33 | €325k | €250k | fell |
| Cédric Fauré Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 36 | €200k | €50k | fell |
| Sokol Cikalleshi Super Lig · 2024 | 34 | €500k | €150k | fell |
| Emanuel Perrone Super League 1 · 2017 | 34 | €250k | €150k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2025 | Urawa Reds | NEC Nijmegen | Free / loan | €450k |
| 11 Jul 2022 | Feyenoord | Urawa Reds | €1.3M | €2.2M |
| 6 Jul 2020 | Vitesse | Feyenoord | Free / loan | €2.4M |
| 3 Jul 2017 | FC Groningen | Vitesse | €1.0M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Heracles Almelo | FC Groningen | €850k | €1.3M |
| 1 Jul 2013 | VVV-Venlo | Heracles Almelo | Unknown | €650k |
| 1 Jul 2010 | MVV Maastricht | VVV-Venlo | Unknown | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Fortuna Sittard | MVV Maastricht | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2008 | Fortuna U19 | Fortuna Sittard | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.