Malcolm Viltard
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Malcolm Viltard's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-1.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-2.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.43x the positional average in the league (2109 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 78
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 18.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €940k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -17% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2109 (78% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 19 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1207
- Opponent strength
- 1394
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €602k – €2.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 38 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -50% to +0%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FCV Dender EH | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 28 | 2109 | 78% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1394 | 1207 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | FCV Dender EH | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 23 | 1074 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1378 | 1267 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | FCV Dender EH | 6 | 460 | 1 | 2 | 1300 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Pires Liga Portugal · 2023 | 25 | €600k | €600k | flat |
| Birger Verstraete Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 23 | €1.7M | €4.0M | rose |
| Alhassan Wakaso Liga Portugal · 2015 | 23 | €1.8M | €1.8M | flat |
| Dmytro Klyots Premier Liga · 2020 | 24 | €400k | €200k | fell |
| Francisco Ramos Liga Portugal · 2020 | 25 | €650k | €450k | fell |
| Funso Ojo Eredivisie · 2016 | 25 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Karel Van Roose Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 24 | €600k | €300k | fell |
| Raman Chibsah Serie A · 2019 | 26 | €1.5M | €400k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | FC Sochaux | FCV Dender EH | €250k | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | LB Châteauroux | FC Sochaux | Free / loan | €400k |
| 7 Sept 2022 | FC Sochaux | LB Châteauroux | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | FC Sochaux B | FC Sochaux | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | FC Sochaux U19 | FC Sochaux B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.